Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 30

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Jos Haupert (Niederkorn)


	Progrès Niedercorn		Mondercange

	1	X	2
	1.1	8.25	18.5
	1.11	7.8	15
	1.08	8.39	14.2
	1.11	7.92	16.17	Watch
	1.09	7.6	17.5
	1.11	7.8	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 (1.1)	7.96 ↑ (7.8)	16.06 ↑ (12.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progrès Niedercorn
82.9%

Draw
11.5%

Mondercange
5.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.5%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progrès Niedercorn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Mondercange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Progrès Niedercorn - Mondercange Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flauss S. (G) 73. Ahmetxjekaj A. 9. Burban J. 17. Camara M. 77. Corral K. 23. Duarte C. 31. Jousselin L. 4. Karamoko H. (C) 38. Karayer M. 20. Natami O. 7. Schmid J.	45. Alilovic A. (G) 15. Costa R. 9. Danhach D. 74. Drinka A. T. 27. Loichot M. 5. Marasi L. 70. Rocha Fonseca Y. 11. Rodrigues N. 12. Silva V. 6. Swistek J. (C) 40. Toure L.
Substitutes
91. Amofa B. 18. Boesen V. 10. Daham S. 33. Gilgemann M. 16. Latik E. (G) 6. Lybohy C. 14. Sacras C.	94. Bah M. 88. Bea R. 1. da Silva T. (G) 17. De Matos Coimbra D. 22. Houelche L. 23. Kintziger K. 29. Rolgen E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', Silva V. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Burban J. ⚽, Corral K. (A),
23', Loichot M. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Schmid J. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Rocha Fonseca Y. ⚽, Drinka A. T. (A),
40', 3 - 1, Burban J. ⚽, Karamoko H. (A),
43', Rocha Fonseca Y. 🟨,
45+2', Danhach D. 🟥,
45+3', Duarte C. 🟨,
45+3', Duarte C. 🟨,
45+4', Corral K. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
55', 4 - 1, Karayer M. ⚽, Ahmetxjekaj A. (A),
58', 4 - 2, Rocha Fonseca Y. ⚽,
61', Rodrigues N. ↓, Houelche L. ↑,
64', 5 - 2, Corral K. ⚽, Natami O. (A),
66', Schmid J. ↓, Boesen V. ↑,
68', 6 - 2, Burban J. ⚽, Natami O. (A),
71', Camara M. ↓, Sacras C. ↑,
74', Rocha Fonseca Y. ↓, Rolgen E. ↑,
79', 7 - 2, Karamoko H. ⚽,
80', Alilovic A. ↓, da Silva T. ↑,
80', Houelche L. ↓, Bea R. ↑,
81', Karayer M. ↓, Lybohy C. ↑,
81', Corral K. ↓, Gilgemann M. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Mondercange is Relegated to

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Progrès Niedercorn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Progrès Niedercorn has had a series of away games.

In this match, Progrès Niedercorn is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progrès Niedercorn won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Progrès Niedercorn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg National Division
18.05.25	Swift Hesperange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Pétange	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Hostert - Progrès Niedercorn	1:3 ✺
27.04.25	Mondorf-les-Bains - Progrès Niedercorn	2:1 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
23.04.25	Wiltz 71 - Progrès Niedercorn	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL
- FC Mondercange
Luxembourg National Division
18.05.25	Mondercange - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	F91 Dudelange - Mondercange	2:3 ✺
04.05.25	Mondercange - Fola Esch	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	UNA Strassen - Mondercange	5:0 ✺
18.04.25	Mondercange - Racing Luxembourg	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 45.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
04.08.24	Mondercange - Progrès Niedercorn	0:2
20.04.24	Mondercange - Progrès Niedercorn	2:1
05.11.23	Progrès Niedercorn - Mondercange	1:1
19.03.23	Mondercange - Progrès Niedercorn	3:3
18.09.22	Progrès Niedercorn - Mondercange	4:0

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