Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 5

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Parque Abraham Paladino (Montevideo)


	Progreso		Potencia

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.8	8.75
	1.25	5	9
	1.3	4.87	8.64
	1.28	5.05	9.3	Watch
	1.28	4.9	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.36)	4.92 ↑ (4.33)	8.9 ↑ (7.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progreso
71.3%

Draw
18.5%

Potencia
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

20.9%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

19.9%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Potencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potencia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Progreso - Potencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura: ) and 13).

Progreso in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Potencia has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Progreso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Progreso is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Progreso to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Segunda Division
28.05.23	Bella Vista - Progreso	0:1 ✺
21.05.23	Progreso - Rentistas	3:1 ✺
13.05.23	Miramar Misiones - Progreso	2:2 ✺
06.05.23	Progreso - Tacuarembó	3:2 ✺
29.04.23	Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTWW
- IA Potencia
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.05.23	Potencia - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
20.05.23	Albion Montevideo - Potencia	0:0 ✺
13.05.23	Potencia - Sud América	1:2 ✺
06.05.23	Juventud de Las Piedras - Potencia	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	Cerrito - Potencia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLLL

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