Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 3

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Parque Abraham Paladino (Montevideo)


	Progreso		Rentistas

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.11	3.35	3.21
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.09	3.28	3.3	Watch
	2.07	3.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.84)	3.2 ↓ (3.28)	3.24 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progreso
43.5%

Draw
28.4%

Rentistas
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.5%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

26.4%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Progreso's form might have worsened.

Rentistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Progreso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rentistas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Progreso - Rentistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Progreso won 3.

Progreso is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Rentistas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Progreso will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Progreso won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Progreso won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Segunda Division
13.05.23	Miramar Misiones - Progreso	2:2 ✺
06.05.23	Progreso - Tacuarembó	3:2 ✺
29.04.23	Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso	1:5 ✺
22.04.23	Progreso - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Oriental de La Paz - Progreso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWWT
- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
13.05.23	Rentistas - Uruguay Montevideo	3:3 ✺
06.05.23	Albion Montevideo - Rentistas	3:2 ✺
23.04.23	Rentistas - Bella Vista	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Miramar Misiones - Rentistas	2:1 ✺
24.03.23	Rentistas - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguay Copa
21.09.22	Rentistas - Progreso	0:3
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.11.21	Rentistas - Progreso	0:1
06.08.21	Progreso - Rentistas	2:2
08.03.21	Rentistas - Progreso	1:3
10.11.20	Progreso - Rentistas	0:0
09.09.20	Progreso - Rentistas	2:2

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