Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Progresso		Trevigliese

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.92	3.5
	2.06	2.75	4.08	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.3
	1.96	3.15	3.66
	2	2.71	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.28)	2.93 ↓ (3.43)	3.77 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progresso
45.1%

Draw
30.9%

Trevigliese
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

26.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

25.8%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progresso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Progresso's performance.

Trevigliese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trevigliese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trevigliese than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trevigliese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Progresso - Trevigliese Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Progresso (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).

Progresso is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Trevigliese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Progresso might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
06.01.26	Pro Sesto - Progresso	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Sasso Marconi - Progresso	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Progresso - SantAngelo	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Progresso - Lentigione	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Correggese - Progresso	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWLW
- CS Trevigliese
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.01.26	Trevigliese - SantAngelo	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Trevigliese - Tuttocuoio	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Lentigione - Trevigliese	4:0 ✺
07.12.25	Trevigliese - Correggese	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Pro Palazzolo - Trevigliese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTLTW

Progresso - Trevigliese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide