Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 17

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Progrès Niedercorn		Swift Hesperange

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.55	3.95
	1.68	3.93	4.43
	1.72	4.02	3.91	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.2
	1.64	3.84	4.32
	1.66	3.4	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.75)	3.71 ↓ (4.01)	4.18 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progrès Niedercorn
53.9%

Draw
24.4%

Swift Hesperange
21.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.5%

22.9%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progrès Niedercorn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Swift Hesperange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Progrès Niedercorn - Swift Hesperange Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Alves Margato J. (G) 73. Ahmetxjekaj A. 80. Avdusinovic K. 99. Baradji I. 19. Bouche Y. 77. Corral K. (C) 11. Gilgemann M. 28. Guett A. 10. Natami O. 29. Oger M. 15. Vion T.	40. Dupire G. (G) 8. Belliard H. 6. Bouazzati Y. 3. El Foukhari I. 5. Erkus E. 24. Herbin G. 28. Kaloga M. 11. Morabet M. 29. Nguinda P. 26. Prempeh J. (C) 36. Skenderovic K.
Substitutes
17. Camara M. 26. Hend B. 71. Hoxha F. 50. Ndenge K. (G) 14. Sacras C. 7. Schmid J. 37. Souchard T.	89. Bochu N. 23. Cisse M. 80. de Jesus Cardoso D. 22. Drame S. 42. Kiambu C. (G) 12. Neves E. 78. Tshiabuiye G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Natami O. ↓, Hend B. ↑,
29', 0 - 1, Kaloga M. ⚽, Herbin G. (A),
30', Kaloga M. 🟨,
34', Oger M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 1, Baradji I. ⚽, Corral K. (A),
58', Bouche Y. 🟨,
73', Belliard H. ↓, Drame S. ↑,
76', Dupire G. 🟨,
81', Bouazzati Y. ↓, Bochu N. ↑,
81', Erkus E. ↓, de Jesus Cardoso D. ↑,
86', Vion T. 🟨,
88', Drame S. 🟨,
89', Gilgemann M. 🟨,
90+5', Morabet M. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progrès Niedercorn won 2.

In this match, Progrès Niedercorn is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Progrès Niedercorn won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Progrès Niedercorn won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Niedercorn	11	6	1	4	16:9	7	19
16	Hesperange	11	0	0	11	2:41	-39	-12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg National Division
08.02.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Progrès Niedercorn	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Esch	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Canach	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Differdange 03 - Progrès Niedercorn	1:1 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
07.11.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Esch	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLTW
- Swift Hesperange
Luxembourg National Division
08.02.26	UNA Strassen - Swift Hesperange	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	Victoria Rosport - Swift Hesperange	2:2 ✺
03.12.25	Swift Hesperange - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Hostert - Swift Hesperange	1:1 ✺
26.11.25	Swift Hesperange - Racing Luxembourg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
17.08.25	Swift Hesperange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:4
18.05.25	Swift Hesperange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:0
11.12.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Swift Hesperange	1:1
Luxembourg Cup
09.05.24	Swift Hesperange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 penalties
Luxembourg National Division
25.02.24	Swift Hesperange - Progrès Niedercorn	0:0
27.08.23	Progrès Niedercorn - Swift Hesperange	2:0
21.05.23	Progrès Niedercorn - Swift Hesperange	2:2

Progrès Niedercorn - Swift Hesperange