The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Provincial Ovalle 35.5%
Draw 30.7%
Brujas Salamanca 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
30.9%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
30.3%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Provincial Ovalle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Brujas Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Provincial Ovalle than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brujas Salamanca than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
16.7%
25%
Provincial Ovalle - Brujas Salamanca Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Ovalle will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Brujas Salamanca will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ovalle: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Provincial Ovalle will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Catalan K. (G) 30. Araya B. 19. Castro B. 22. Ceron D. 29. Duma C. 3. Gonzalez C. 11. Maluenda L. 13. Maureira M. 7. Salazar D. 16. Solano B. 6. Soto J.
22. Requena L. (C) 20. Araya V. 15. Arenas F. 18. Arias M. 8. Carmona F. 9. Diaz C. 10. Duran F. 4. Macaya L. 24. Molina C. 16. Osses B. 3. Tapia M.
Substitutes
27. Carreno L. 4. Contreras S. 28. Cortes B. 9. Cuellar D. 20. Lara Collao M. A. 21. Matamala C. 12. Orellana G. (G)
25. Aravena S. (G) 21. Aros Malgarejo J. 7. Cid W. 17. Gonzalez J. 28. Melendez J. 11. Valdes B. 27. Valencia A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Tapia M. ⚽,
36', Diaz C. 🟨,
41', Duma C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Duma C. ↓, Cuellar D. ↑,
55', Salazar D. ↓, Cortes B. ↑,
68', Arias M. ↓, Aros Malgarejo J. ↑,
68', Osses B. ↓, Valencia A. ↑,
70', Araya V. 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Cuellar D. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Soto J. 🟨,
77', Maluenda L. ↓, Lara Collao M. A. ↑,
78', Duran F. 🟨,
79', Araya V. ↓, Valdes B. ↑,
79', Duran F. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
85', Diaz C. ↓, Cid W. ↑,
89', Maureira M. ↓, Carreno L. ↑,
Preview
Ovalle has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Brujas Salamanca is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
We predict that Brujas Salamanca will win today's game, with odds of 2.53.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ovalle won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Ovalle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Watch
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Catalan K. (G) 
Duma C. 
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