Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday


	Puente Genil		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.05	2.3	Watch
	3.25	2.88	2.28
	1.00	1.00	1.10	Watch
	3.18	3.08	2.33	Watch
	3.5	3.2	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.64)	2.64 ↓ (3.06)	2.02 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puente Genil
28.8%

Draw
30.8%

Cartagena
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

30.2%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

29.7%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Puente Genil - Cartagena Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cartagena will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cartagena will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Del Valle B. (G) 16. Rafita 15. Pozo J. 17. Perez M. 3. Juanjo 10. Vegas S. (C) 6. Armengol J. 14. Polaco 21. Ruiz A. M. 9. Montenegro T. 11. Araiza A.	13. Garcia L. (G) 18. Perejon D. 15. Velez F. 5. Baz I. 3. Jimenez N. 17. Sanchez K. 14. Alcaniz E. 23. Nacho 7. Calderon C. 21. Chuca 9. Ortuno A. (C)
Substitutes
18. Bugui 24. Cacho 12. Capilla 8. Carlos Ramirez 5. Chia Merino E. 1. Estepa 19. Gonzalez P. 20. Hernandez L. 23. Merino D. 22. Sahraoui I. 4. Vela Resina I.	29. Checo 19. Chiki 6. Fidalgo A. 20. Gomez D. 2. Jurado M. 10. Larrea P. 16. Martin A. 1. Martinez I. (G) 22. Martinez N. 11. Redondo L. 30. Reyes J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ruiz A. M. ↓, Guzman C. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Sanchez K. ⚽, Calderon C. (A),
58', Montenegro T. ↓, Isma ↑,
58', Vegas S. ↓, Carlos Ramirez ↑,
67', Calderon C. ↓, Redondo L. ↑,
67', Sanchez K. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
69', Polaco ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
69', Isma 🟨,
72', Velez F. 🟨,
73', Alcaniz E. ↓, Fidalgo A. ↑,
73', Ortuno A. ↓, Checo ↑,
77', Armengol J. ↓, Capilla ↑,
84', Chuca ↓, Larrea P. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Puente Genil may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cartagena will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.10.25	Puente Genil - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Puente Genil - La Unión	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Atlético Malagueño - Puente Genil	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Puente Genil - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLTTT
- FC Cartagena
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.10.25	Marbella - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	Cartagena - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Sevilla B - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Cartagena - Tarazona	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWTWL

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