Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Marbella (Marbella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Marbella		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.7
	2.4	3.1	2.82
	2.5	3.1	2.85
	2.30	3.13	3.09	Watch
	2.49	3.06	2.78
	2.15	3.1	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.3)	3.1 ↓ (3.13)	2.88 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marbella
38.5%

Draw
29.6%

Cartagena
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

29.6%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

30.4%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Marbella - Cartagena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vassilev D. (G) 12. Fattore V. 24. Vanheusden Z. 23. Escassi A. 3. Martinez A. 7. Awudu T. 16. Ruiz A. 25. Munoz L. 10. Luis Alcalde 19. Ohemeng E. 21. Palacin P.	1. Martinez I. (G) 2. Jurado M. 4. Serrano R. 5. Baz I. 22. Martinez N. 7. Calderon C. 10. Larrea P. 11. Redondo L. 14. Alcaniz E. 16. Martin A. 9. Ortuno A.
Substitutes
5. Acosta L. 17. Alexiel 20. Cambra J. 18. Du Yuezheng 8. Eugeni 15. Gabri 6. Lopez A. 26. Navarro C. 9. Rodri 22. Toper	19. Chiki 21. Chuca 6. Fidalgo A. 13. Garcia L. (G) 20. Gomez D. 3. Jimenez N. 18. Perejon D. 17. Sanchez K. 23. Sanchez N. 15. Velez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Redondo L. 🟨,
21', Jurado M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Munoz L. 🟨,
63', Awudu T. ↓, Eugeni ↑,
63', Munoz L. ↓, Rodri ↑,
63', Ortuno A. ↓, Chiki ↑,
63', Calderon C. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
63', Martin A. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
78', Ruiz A. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
78', Palacin P. ↓, Alexiel ↑,
81', Alcaniz E. ↓, Chuca ↑,
85', Redondo L. ↓, Fidalgo A. ↑,
90+3', Luis Alcalde ↓, Cambra J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marbella won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cartagena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Marbella won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Marbella won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.10.25	Antequera - Marbella	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Marbella - Eldense	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	CE Europa - Marbella	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Marbella - Betis B	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Tarazona - Marbella	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLTT
- FC Cartagena
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.10.25	Cartagena - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Sevilla B - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Cartagena - Tarazona	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
24.09.25	Sabadell - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.03.20	Cartagena - Marbella	0:0
13.10.19	Marbella - Cartagena	0:0
05.05.19	Cartagena - Marbella	2:0
16.12.18	Marbella - Cartagena	0:2
25.02.18	Cartagena - Marbella	0:1
08.10.17	Marbella - Cartagena	1:0
26.03.17	Marbella - Cartagena	2:1

Upcoming Matches