Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Puente Genil		Águilas

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.78	2.48
	2.9	2.71	2.52
	2.8	2.7	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.25)	2.73 ↓ (2.83)	2.5 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puente Genil
31.3%

Draw
32.8%

Águilas
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

32.3%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

31%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Águilas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Puente Genil - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Montenegro T. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent form of Puente Genil has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Águilas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Puente Genil - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.10.25	Puente Genil - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Puente Genil - La Unión	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Atlético Malagueño - Puente Genil	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLTT
- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.10.25	Atlético Malagueño - Águilas	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Xerez Deportivo - Águilas	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Águilas - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Almeria B - Águilas	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Águilas - CD Extremadura	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWWL

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