Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 17 April 2024, Wednesday


	Puerto Nuevo		Club Luján

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.75	3.1
	2.25	2.95	3.2
	2.41	2.81	3.18
	2.41	2.81	3.18
	2.2	2.88	3.2
	2.37	2.94	3.14
	2.32	2.75	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.22)	2.84 ↓ (3)	3.17 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puerto Nuevo
39.2%

Draw
32.1%

Club Luján
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

30.3%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

30.1%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Club Luján has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Puerto Nuevo - Club Luján Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Chimino C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
90+1', 0 - 2, Giacovino M. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 3, Giacovino M. ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 3, Damiolini N. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 15).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Club Luján could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Puerto Nuevo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Puerto Nuevo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Puerto Nuevo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Puerto Nuevo
Argentinian Primera C
10.04.24	Sportivo Barracas - Puerto Nuevo	1:2 ✺
05.04.24	Puerto Nuevo - Berazategui	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Deportivo Yupanqui - Puerto Nuevo	1:1 ✺
27.03.24	Puerto Nuevo - Justo José de Urquiza	0:1 ✺
22.03.24	Puerto Nuevo - Real Pilar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTLT
- Club Luján
Argentinian Primera C
10.04.24	Club Luján - Central Córdoba de Rosario	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Mercedes - Club Luján	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Club Luján - Deportivo Muñiz	2:0 ✺
27.03.24	General Lamadrid - Club Luján	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	El Porvenir - Club Luján	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
17.09.23	Puerto Nuevo - Club Luján	1:2
07.05.23	Club Luján - Puerto Nuevo	0:0
25.09.22	Puerto Nuevo - Club Luján	2:1
22.05.22	Club Luján - Puerto Nuevo	3:1

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