Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - APERTURA - ROUND 7

Date: 22 March 2024, Friday


	Puerto Nuevo		Real Pilar

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.8	2.75
	2.5	2.85	2.85	Watch
	2.58	2.75	2.94
	2.58	2.75	2.94
	2.38	3	2.8
	2.49	2.84	2.84
	2.49	2.85	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.01)	2.83 ↓ (3.05)	2.85 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puerto Nuevo
36.3%

Draw
31.9%

Real Pilar
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

29.7%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

29.6%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puerto Nuevo's form might have worsened.

Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Pilar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puerto Nuevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Pilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Puerto Nuevo - Real Pilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Puerto Nuevo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Real Pilar will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Penoni A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Paiva A. ⚽,
57', Vera A. 🟥,
66', 2 - 1, Castillo R. ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, Chambi L. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 21).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Puerto Nuevo won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Puerto Nuevo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Puerto Nuevo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Puerto Nuevo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Puerto Nuevo
Argentinian Primera C
17.03.24	Deportivo Paraguayo - Puerto Nuevo	1:1 ✺
08.03.24	Argentino de Rosario - Puerto Nuevo	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Puerto Nuevo - Defensores de Cambaceres	4:0 ✺
24.02.24	Atlas General Rodríguez - Puerto Nuevo	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Puerto Nuevo - Deportivo Español	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWLT
- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera C
16.03.24	Real Pilar - Lugano	3:0 ✺
08.03.24	Real Pilar - Central Córdoba de Rosario	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Mercedes - Real Pilar	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Real Pilar - Deportivo Muñiz	2:2 ✺
19.02.24	General Lamadrid - Real Pilar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
09.09.23	Real Pilar - Puerto Nuevo	2:0
30.04.23	Puerto Nuevo - Real Pilar	1:3
03.07.22	Real Pilar - Puerto Nuevo	0:0
28.02.22	Puerto Nuevo - Real Pilar	0:1
Argentinian Primera D
04.05.19	Real Pilar - Puerto Nuevo	0:0
04.12.18	Puerto Nuevo - Real Pilar	0:2
16.04.18	Real Pilar - Puerto Nuevo	2:2

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