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Current Win Probability
Puerto Nuevo 20.4%
Draw 30.7%
Estrella del Sur 48.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.7%
30.5%
45.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.3%
31%
46.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Estrella del Sur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrella del Sur than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Puerto Nuevo - Estrella del Sur Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Puerto Nuevo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Estrella del Sur will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Lopez J. P. ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))
Puerto Nuevo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Estrella del Sur has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Estrella del Sur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Estrella del Sur will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Puerto Nuevo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Puerto Nuevo - the odds 3.8 are the expected chance of winning is 23.66%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.