The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puerto Nuevo 42%
Draw 32%
Fénix 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
34.5%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
34.6%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puerto Nuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Puerto Nuevo - Fénix Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 1, Martinez M. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).
Puerto Nuevo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Fénix has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Puerto Nuevo could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Puerto Nuevo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.