Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 28

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Pulpileño		Caravaca

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.05	3.8
	2	2.94	4.09
	2.77	2.03	4.41	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.7
	1.93	2.9	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.81)	2.74 ↓ (3.2)	4.04 ↓ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pulpileño
43.4%

Draw
33.7%

Caravaca
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

28.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

26%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pulpileño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pulpileño's form might have worsened.

Caravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pulpileño than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Pulpileño - Caravaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pulpileño won 1.

In recent matches, Pulpileño has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Caravaca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pulpileño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Caravaca has had a series of home games.

In this match, Pulpileño is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pulpileño won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Pulpileño won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Pulpileno	5	2	2	1	6:4	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Pulpileño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
22.03.26	Cieza - Pulpileño	1:1 ✺
19.03.26	Minerva - Pulpileño	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Pulpileño - Bala Azul	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Olímpico de Totana - Pulpileño	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Pulpileño - Cartagena B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLTLW
- UD Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
22.03.26	Caravaca - Águilas B	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Caravaca - UCAM Murcia B	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Caravaca - Mazarrón	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	El Palmar - Caravaca	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Caravaca - Deportivo Marítimo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
16.11.25	Caravaca - Pulpileño	2:1
01.05.25	Caravaca - Pulpileño	0:0
21.12.24	Pulpileño - Caravaca	0:0
28.04.24	Pulpileño - Caravaca	0:1
15.12.23	Caravaca - Pulpileño	0:1
12.03.23	Caravaca - Pulpileño	0:0
15.11.22	Pulpileño - Caravaca	2:2

Pulpileño - Caravaca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide