Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pulpileño		Sarriana

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.9	2.75
	2.38	2.44	3.93
				Watch
	2.34	2.8	3.52
	2.05	3.15	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.05)	2.82 ↓ (3.15)	3.41 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pulpileño
40.3%

Draw
32.7%

Sarriana
27%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.5%

29%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

28.4%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pulpileño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Sarriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pulpileño than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pulpileño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Pulpileño - Sarriana Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

Pulpileño is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Sarriana has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pulpileño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pulpileño will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Pulpileño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
08.06.25	Santomera - Pulpileño	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Pulpileño - Santomera	0:0 ✺
25.05.25	Cieza - Pulpileño	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Pulpileño - Cieza	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Pulpileño - Alcantarilla	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WTTWW
- SD Sarriana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
07.06.25	Estradense - Sarriana	0:2 ✺
01.06.25	Sarriana - Estradense	2:0 ✺
25.05.25	Sarriana - RC Villalbes	0:1 ET ✺
18.05.25	RC Villalbes - Sarriana	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Atlético Arteixo - Sarriana	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWL

Pulpileño - Sarriana

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Pulpileño - Sarriana Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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