Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday


	Sarriana		Estradense

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.7	2.9	2.6
	2.96	2.49	2.84
	2.84	2.69	2.75	Watch
	2.65	3.14	2.54
	2.7	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.01)	2.89 ↓ (3.27)	2.74 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarriana
34.7%

Draw
31.8%

Estradense
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27.8%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarriana's form might have worsened.

Estradense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estradense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarriana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estradense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sarriana - Estradense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Sane A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sarriana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sarriana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sarriana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sarriana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Sarriana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
25.05.25	Sarriana - RC Villalbes	0:1 ET ✺
18.05.25	RC Villalbes - Sarriana	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Atlético Arteixo - Sarriana	4:2 ✺
27.04.25	Betanzos - Sarriana	2:3 ✺
20.04.25	Sarriana - Polvorín	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWL
- CD Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
25.05.25	Estradense - Noia	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Noia - Estradense	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Villalonga - Estradense	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Estradense - Valladares	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Arosa - Estradense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.10.24	Estradense - Sarriana	1:2
25.02.24	Sarriana - Estradense	1:2

Sarriana - Estradense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide