Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Pancho Arena (Felcsút)

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Duna World / M4 Sport +
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
Portugal	Canal 11
Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Puskás Academy		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.9	1.57	Watch
	5	4	1.55
	5.5	4	1.55	Watch
	6.04	3.95	1.57
	5.09	3.99	1.62	Watch
	5.57	4.39	1.59	Watch
	5.5	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.46 ↑ (4.8)	4.03 ↑ (3.75)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puskás Academy
17.2%

Draw
23.2%

Fiorentina
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

23.8%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

22.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puskás Academy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puskás Academy than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	11.1%	72.2%

Puskás Academy - Fiorentina Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Puskas Academy will win (votes: 6 - 16.7%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 26 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 57.6% – 86.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Pecsi A. (G) 23. Maceiras Q. 14. Golla W. 17. Stronati P. 25. Nagy Z. (C) 15. Plsek J. 19. Favorov A. 16. Nissila U. 20. Soisalo M. 21. Puljic J. 10. Levi J.	43. de Gea D. (G) 28. Martinez Quarta L. 5. Pongracic M. 6. Ranieri L. 2. Dodo 4. Amrabat S. 24. Richardson A. 3. Biraghi C. (C) 11. Ikone J. 20. Kean M. 7. Sottil R.
Substitutes
9. Colley L. 8. Kocsis D. 7. Komaromi G. 72. Lehoczki B. (G) 24. Markek T. (G) 66. Markgraf A. 77. Mondovics K. 76. Pal B. 22. Szolnoki R. 11. Tiscsuk A. 88. Vekony B. 55. Vitalyos V.	9. Beltran L. 42. Bianco A. 23. Colpani A. 15. Comuzzo P. 33. Kayode M. 99. Kouame C. 8. Mandragora R. 30. Martinelli T. (G) 65. Parisi F. 1. Terracciano P. (G)
Coaches
Hornyak Z.	Palladino R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Pongracic M. 🟨,
44', Kean M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Plsek J. 🟨,
54', Sottil R. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
54', Ikone J. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
54', Pongracic M. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Kean M. ⚽,
67', Levi J. ↓, Komaromi G. ↑,
67', Puljic J. ↓, Colley L. ↑,
71', Martinez Quarta L. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
76', Comuzzo P. 🟨,
79', Colley L. 🟨,
79', Ranieri L. 🟨,
79', Plsek J. ↓, Szolnoki R. ↑,
81', Komaromi G. 🟨,
83', Dodo ↓, Kayode M. ↑,
88', Soisalo M. ↓, Vekony B. ↑,
90+2', Favorov A. 🟨,
90+3', Maceiras Q. 🟨,
90+4', Ranieri L. 🟥,
90+7', 1 - 1, Nagy Z. (Pen),
90+8', Dodo 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Kean M. ↓, Mandragora R. ↑,
97', Comuzzo P. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Komaromi G. (Pen),
1, Mandragora R. (Pen),
2, Favorov A. (Pen),
2, Kouame C. (Pen),
3, Golla W. (Pen),
3, Colpani A. (Pen),
4, Szolnoki R. (Pen),
4, Richardson A. (Pen),
5, Nagy Z. (Pen),
5, Biraghi C. (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-3.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Puskas Academy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Puskas Academy won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puskás Academy
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Fiorentina - Puskás Academy	3:3 ✺
Hungarian NB I
18.08.24	Puskás Academy - MTK Budapest	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Puskás Academy - Ararat-Armenia	3:3 ✺
Hungarian NB I
11.08.24	Puskás Academy - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Ararat-Armenia - Puskás Academy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWTWW
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
25.08.24	Fiorentina - Venezia	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Fiorentina - Puskás Academy	3:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.08.24	Parma - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Freiburg - Fiorentina	0:2 ✺
05.08.24	Grosseto - Fiorentina	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Fiorentina - Puskás Academy	3:3

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