Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 2

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)


	Fiorentina		Venezia

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.46	4.6	6.75
	1.43	4.65	7.3	Watch
	1.44	4.82	7.6
	1.47	4.57	7.36	Watch
	1.44	4.5	7.5
	1.48	4.87	7.45	Watch
	1.45	4.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)	4.69 ↑ (4.6)	7.25 ↑ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
66.2%

Draw
20.5%

Venezia
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

20.5%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

19.8%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.3%	15.8%	7.9%

Fiorentina - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (29 of 35 users predict this - 82.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.37% – 95.35%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Terracciano P. (G) 15. Comuzzo P. 6. Ranieri L. 3. Biraghi C. (C) 2. Dodo 4. Amrabat S. 24. Richardson A. 65. Parisi F. 72. Barak A. 99. Kouame C. 20. Kean M.	1. Joronen J. (G) 4. Idzes J. 15. Altare G. 33. Sverko M. 27. Candela A. 38. Andersen M. K. 32. Duncan A. 7. Zampano F. (C) 77. Ellertsson M. E. 11. Oristanio G. 9. Gytkjaer C.
Substitutes
9. Beltran L. 42. Bianco A. 77. Brekalo J. 23. Colpani A. 43. de Gea D. (G) 17. Fortini N. 19. Infantino G. 33. Kayode M. 8. Mandragora R. 30. Martinelli T. (G) 28. Martinez Quarta L. 7. Sottil R.	22. Crnigoj D. 97. Doumbia I. 80. El Haddad S. 23. Grandi M. (G) 5. Haps R. 24. Lella N. 44. Lucchesi L. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 10. Pierini N. 21. Sagrado R. 35. Stankovic F. (G) 30. Svoboda M.
Coaches
Palladino R.	Di Francesco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Oristanio G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Oristanio G. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
46', Gytkjaer C. ↓, Raimondo A. ↑,
55', Barak A. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
62', Zampano F. 🟨,
68', Andersen M. K. ↓, Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↑,
68', Idzes J. ↓, Svoboda M. ↑,
68', Kouame C. ↓, Sottil R. ↑,
78', Richardson A. ↓, Mandragora R. ↑,
78', Comuzzo P. ↓, Martinez Quarta L. ↑,
79', Kean M. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
86', Mandragora R. 🟨,
87', Ellertsson M. E. ↓, Doumbia I. ↑,

Preview

Fiorentina is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Venezia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Venezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Venezia have a series of guest games.

In this match Fiorentina is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fiorentina to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Fiorentina - Puskás Academy	3:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.08.24	Parma - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Freiburg - Fiorentina	0:2 ✺
05.08.24	Grosseto - Fiorentina	2:7 ✺
04.08.24	Fiorentina - Montpellier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTWWW
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
18.08.24	Lazio - Venezia	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.08.24	Brescia - Venezia	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.24	Zwolle - Venezia	1:2 ✺
01.08.24	Utrecht - Venezia	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	Venezia - Genoa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
16.04.22	Fiorentina - Venezia	1:0
18.10.21	Venezia - Fiorentina	1:0
Club Friendly
21.07.18	Fiorentina - Venezia	0:1

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