Match Info

Division 1 - Round 24

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach (Niepołomice)

Referee: Horozaniecki P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Puszcza Niepołomice		Pogoń Siedlce

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.4
	2.08	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.11	3.29	3.76
	2.01	3.4	3.67	Watch
	2.05	3	3.4
	1.99	3.13	3.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.25)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	3.56 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
45.2%

Draw
28.9%

Pogoń Siedlce
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.2%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.8%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Siedlce Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puszcza: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Perchel M. (G) 67. Barczak N. 34. Piekarski A. 23. Przybylko K. 2. Kasolik K. 70. Hajda W. 5. Stepien K. 17. Iwao K. 88. Nascimento F. (C) 10. Cholewiak M. 14. Gjoni A.	57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 4. Misiak P. 3. Dembek B. 6. Flis M. 14. Jakubik D. (C) 95. Zielonka N. 16. Poczobut B. 10. Drag M. 11. Famulak M. 13. Podlinski K. 29. Niezgoda J.
Substitutes
22. Kikis 11. Korczakowski O. 97. Kowal W. (G) 28. Pieprzyca I. 9. Smiglewski K. 27. Solowiej L. 19. Stec J. 7. Stepien M. 16. Walski M.	56. Demianiuk C. 31. Dzieciol E. 26. Kolodziejski M. 41. Pakulski D. 39. Rosolek M. 72. Szczytniewski S. 7. Szuprytowski D. 1. Tomkiel J. (G) 27. Zbrog J.
Coaches
Tulacz T.	Nocon A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Misiak P. ↓, Szczytniewski S. ↑,
35', 1 - 0, Iwao K. ⚽,
43', Szczytniewski S. 🟨,
43', Gjoni A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Barczak N. 🟨,
63', Zielonka N. ↓, Zbrog J. ↑,
64', Famulak M. ↓, Demianiuk C. ↑,
64', Niezgoda J. ↓, Rosolek M. ↑,
72', Kasolik K. 🟨,
73', Gjoni A. ↓, Smiglewski K. ↑,
77', Demianiuk C. 🟨,
77', Nascimento F. ↓, Walski M. ↑,
77', Cholewiak M. ↓, Korczakowski O. ↑,
78', Hajda W. ↓, Kikis ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Jakubik D. (Own goal),
87', Drag M. ↓, Szuprytowski D. ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Korczakowski O. ⚽,
90+1', Iwao K. ↓, Pieprzyca I. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).

Puszcza is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pogoń Siedlce has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Puszcza might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Puszcza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Pogon Siedlce: 0.41% Puszcza: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Pogon Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9:7	2	12
18	Puszcza	8	2	0	6	8:12	-4	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Division 1
01.03.26	GKS Tychy - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Rzeszów	4:1 ✺
15.02.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Górnik Łęczna	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.01.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWT
- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1
27.02.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Ruch Chorzów	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Odra Opole - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.01.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Unia Skierniewice	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
24.08.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0
27.05.18	Pogoń Siedlce - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0
04.11.17	Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Siedlce	2:3

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