The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puszcza Niepołomice 25%
Draw 26.8%
Arka Gdynia 48.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31%
28.6%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
28.4%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puszcza Niepołomice's form might have worsened.
Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arka Gdynia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puszcza Niepołomice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arka Gdynia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.1%
14.3%
78.6%
Puszcza Niepołomice - Arka Gdynia Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Arka will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Arka: 57.1% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 1.
Puszcza is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Arka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Arka will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-13.
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