Match Info

Division 1 - Round 33

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gdyni (Gdynia)

Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Arka Gdynia		GKS Tychy

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	7	Watch
	1.5	4	5.75
	1.39	4.7	7.4	Watch
	1.42	4.72	7
	1.43	4.51	6.97	Watch
	1.5	3.8	6
	1.41	4.4	6.85
	1.39	4.7	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.56)	4.42 ↑ (4.03)	6.8 ↑ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arka Gdynia
65.1%

Draw
21.1%

GKS Tychy
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

23.1%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.7%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arka Gdynia's performance.

GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Arka Gdynia - GKS Tychy Predictions

Users Predictions: Arka Gdynia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Weglarz D. (G) 2. Navarro M. 29. Marcjanik M. 18. Celestine J. 94. Gojny D. (C) 9. Gaprindashvili T. 35. Jakubczyk K. 39. Kocaba F. 8. Sidibe A. 27. Oliveira J. 7. Sobczak S.	1. Lubik M. (C) 16. Budnicki J. 3. Teclaw J. 4. Dijakovic M. 37. Keiblinger J. 22. Ertlthaler J. 10. Makowski R. 11. Blachewicz M. 9. Rumin D. 19. Stangret M. 17. Niemann N.
Substitutes
13. Azatsky O. 1. Grobelny J. (G) 23. Hermoso K. 11. Kocyla D. 99. Majchrzak J. 80. Petrovic Z. 31. Staniszewski J. 32. Stolc P. 14. Vitalucci H.	30. Gebala P. 14. Holownia M. 31. Kolotylo K. (G) 5. Kurtaran T. 21. Machowski K. 6. Nedic N. 24. Polap D. 18. Spiaczka B.
Coaches
Szwarga D.	Skowronek A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Gaprindashvili T. ⚽, Oliveira J. (A),
18', Sobczak S. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Dijakovic M. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Navarro M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 2 - 2, Ertlthaler J. (Pen),
69', Stangret M. ↓, Spiaczka B. ↑,
71', Sobczak S. ↓, Majchrzak J. ↑,
71', Oliveira J. ↓, Kocyla D. ↑,
77', Niemann N. ↓, Kurtaran T. ↑,
80', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Petrovic Z. ↑,
85', Gaprindashvili T. ↓, Vitalucci H. ↑,
89', Blachewicz M. ↓, Machowski K. ↑,
89', Rumin D. ↓, Gebala P. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 8).

Arka is Qualified for Ekstraklasa

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

GKS Tychy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Arka is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Arka won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:9. (average 1.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:4. (average 2.3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1
12.05.25	Wisła Płock - Arka Gdynia	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Arka Gdynia - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Arka Gdynia	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Arka Gdynia - Odra Opole	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Chrobry Głogów - Arka Gdynia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWTWT
- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1
09.05.25	GKS Tychy - Wisła Kraków	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Znicz Pruszków - GKS Tychy	2:2 ✺
26.04.25	GKS Tychy - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	ŁKS Łódź - GKS Tychy	1:3 ✺
14.04.25	GKS Tychy - Stal Rzeszów	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
09.11.24	GKS Tychy - Arka Gdynia	1:1
01.03.24	GKS Tychy - Arka Gdynia	0:1
20.08.23	Arka Gdynia - GKS Tychy	2:0
08.04.23	GKS Tychy - Arka Gdynia	2:2
04.09.22	Arka Gdynia - GKS Tychy	5:0
07.04.22	GKS Tychy - Arka Gdynia	0:2
12.09.21	Arka Gdynia - GKS Tychy	0:1

Upcoming Matches