Match Info

Division 1 - Round 4

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach (Niepołomice)

Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Puszcza Niepołomice		Wieczysta Kraków

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.35
	2.58	3.4	2.52	Watch
	2.57	3.69	2.56
	2.65	3.26	2.60	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.4
	2.64	3.3	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3.5)	3.35 ↓ (3.38)	2.48 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
35.2%

Draw
27.5%

Wieczysta Kraków
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

27.2%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

26%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Puszcza Niepołomice's performance.

Wieczysta Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wieczysta Kraków might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Puszcza Niepołomice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wieczysta Kraków could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	21.4%	42.9%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Wieczysta Kraków Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Wieczysta will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wieczysta: 17% – 68.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Puszcza (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wieczysta Kraków will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Puszcza (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Wieczysta (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Perchel M. (G) 5. Stepien K. (C) 34. Piekarski A. 8. Mrozinski P. 67. Barczak N. 23. Przybylko K. 16. Walski M. 11. Korczakowski O. 13. Kanach R. 10. Cholewiak M. 9. Smiglewski K.	1. Mikulko A. (G) 17. Dankowski K. 89. Mikolajewski D. 2. Pazdan M. (C) 33. Pestka K. 8. Swedrowski T. 19. Trabka M. 30. Donkor J. 27. Carlitos 77. Semedo L. 21. Rafa Lopes
Substitutes
18. Francois E. 4. Galazka A. 17. Iwao K. 77. Juszczyk B. 12. Klimek A. 97. Kowal W. (G) 19. Stec J. 7. Stepien M.	20. Chuma 7. Gajos M. 14. Koj M. 29. Lysiak P. 97. Mras T. 6. Pietrzak R. 11. Sandoval D. 28. Soberka K. (G) 66. Wolosik J.
Coaches
Tulacz T.	Cecherz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pazdan M. 🟨,
57', Pestka K. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Swedrowski T. ⚽,
62', Rafa Lopes ↓, Chuma ↑,
62', Carlitos ↓, Lysiak P. ↑,
65', Cholewiak M. ↓, Francois E. ↑,
65', Korczakowski O. ↓, Klimek A. ↑,
76', Barczak N. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
76', Kanach R. ↓, Iwao K. ↑,
76', Donkor J. ↓, Sandoval D. ↑,
79', Smiglewski K. ↓, Galazka A. ↑,
90', Galazka A. 🟨,
90+2', Semedo L. ↓, Koj M. ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Puszcza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wieczysta is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Puszcza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Wieczysta has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Puszcza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Division 1
03.08.25	Górnik Łęczna - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
21.07.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Maccabi Bnei Raina	5:0 ✺
09.07.25	Ruch Chorzów - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTTWT
- Wieczysta Kraków
Polish Cup
06.08.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:1 penalties ✺
Polish Division 1
01.08.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Znicz Pruszków	4:0 ✺
27.07.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1 ✺
18.07.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Wieczysta Kraków	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.07.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Wieczysta Kraków	0:5
11.07.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Wieczysta Kraków	0:0
27.01.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Wieczysta Kraków	3:0

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