Match Info

Division 1 - Round 18

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Śląski (Chorzów)

Referee: Rasmus S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	Ruch Chorzów		Puszcza Niepołomice

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.08	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.62
	2.11	3.32	3.38	Watch
	2.06	3.18	3.35
	2.05	3.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 (2.08)	3.28 ↑ (3.27)	3.41 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
44.6%

Draw
28.3%

Puszcza Niepołomice
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.2%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.9%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Ruch Chorzów - Puszcza Niepołomice Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Puszcza will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puszcza: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Puszcza Niepołomice will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Gradecki B. (G) 77. Ceglarz P. 38. Karasinski S. 7. Kolar M. 15. Konczkowski M. 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 17. Lukic A. 18. Nagamatsu S. 21. Szwedzik P. 27. Szwoch M. 20. Szymanski S. (C)	97. Kowal W. (G) 10. Cholewiak M. 2. Kasolik K. 11. Korczakowski O. 8. Mrozinski P. 88. Nascimento F. (C) 23. Przybylko K. 22. Simon C. 9. Smiglewski K. 19. Stec J. 5. Stepien K.
Substitutes
82. Bielecki J. (G) 99. Dyduch K. 2. Imiolek K. 24. Komor A. 29. Lachendro F. 14. Nono 5. Rosol M. 30. Sobeczko J. 25. Ventura D.	67. Barczak N. 21. Basse A. 18. Francois E. 17. Iwao K. 13. Kanach R. 41. Smok K. 27. Solowiej L. 7. Stepien M. 16. Walski M.
Coaches
Fornalik W.	Tulacz T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Nagamatsu S. ⚽, Szwoch M. (A),
23', Smiglewski K. ↓, Basse A. ↑,
28', 2 - 0, Karasinski S. ⚽,
41', Przybylko K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Przybylko K. ↓, Walski M. ↑,
46', Korczakowski O. ↓, Iwao K. ↑,
46', Simon C. ↓, Barczak N. ↑,
62', Nascimento F. 🟨,
70', Stec J. 🟨,
80', Ceglarz P. ↓, Ventura D. ↑,
87', Iwao K. 🟨,
87', Kolar M. ↓, Sobeczko J. ↑,
88', Nascimento F. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
90', Sobeczko J. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ruch Chorzów won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Puszcza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ruch Chorzów will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ruch Chorzów won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ruch Chorzów won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
23.11.25	Ruch Chorzów - Znicz Pruszków	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Ruch Chorzów - Miedź Legnica	3:1 ✺
31.10.25	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Odra Opole - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWTT
- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Division 1
21.11.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Miedź Legnica	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	ŁKS Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:3 ✺
05.11.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
29.10.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Lechia Gdańsk	1:3 ET ✺
Polish Division 1
24.10.25	Znicz Pruszków - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
21.07.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Ruch Chorzów - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1
22.06.24	Ruch Chorzów - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.04.24	Ruch Chorzów - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0
30.09.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Ruch Chorzów	2:2
Club Friendly
24.03.23	Ruch Chorzów - Puszcza Niepołomice	5:2
Polish Division 1
17.02.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Ruch Chorzów	0:1

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