Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 28

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Puteolana		Casarano

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.8	1.51
	5.15	3.9	1.5
	5.15	3.87	1.51
	5.5	3.75	1.5
	5.35	3.94	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (4.79)	3.85 ↑ (3.64)	1.51 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puteolana
17.1%

Draw
23.4%

Casarano
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

24.8%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

24.9%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puteolana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puteolana than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Puteolana - Casarano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs)).

Puteolana is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Casarano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Casarano is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Puteolana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Puteolana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Puteolana 1902
Italian Serie D - Group H
12.03.23	Nocerina - Puteolana	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Puteolana - Gravina	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Martina Calcio - Puteolana	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.02.23	Pineto - Puteolana	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
18.02.23	Puteolana - Bitonto	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLLW
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
12.03.23	Casarano - Città di Fasano	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Barletta - Casarano	3:3 ✺
26.02.23	Casarano - Matera	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Afragolese - Casarano	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Casarano - Altamura	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
13.11.22	Casarano - Puteolana	1:1
13.06.21	Puteolana - Casarano	0:1
14.02.21	Casarano - Puteolana	3:1

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