Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 24

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday


	Afragolese		Casarano

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.85	2.3
	3.3	2.85	2.2
	3.01	2.91	2.33
	3.4	2.8	2.1
	3.04	3.06	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.97)	2.89 ↑ (2.89)	2.25 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afragolese
28.7%

Draw
31.2%

Casarano
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

30.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

30.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Afragolese - Casarano Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Afragolese will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Casarano will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Afragolese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Casarano is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Casarano is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Afragolese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afragolese 1944
Italian Serie D - Group H
12.02.23	Nocerina - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Afragolese - Gravina	0:2 ✺
29.01.23	Martina Calcio - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Afragolese - Francavilla	3:2 ✺
15.01.23	Cavese - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLTWT
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
12.02.23	Casarano - Altamura	3:1 ✺
05.02.23	Nocerina - Casarano	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Casarano - Città di Brindisi	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Casarano - Lavello	3:0 ✺
15.01.23	Gravina - Casarano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
16.10.22	Casarano - Afragolese	2:2

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