Match Info

Date: 26 June 2021, Saturday


	Pyeongtaek Citizen		Gyeongju KH&NP

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.62
	5	4	1.5
	5	3.6	1.59
	5.82	3.68	1.64
	5.05	3.75	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↓ (5.4)	3.71 ↓ (4.1)	1.59 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pyeongtaek Citizen
17.9%

Draw
24.7%

Gyeongju KH&NP
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

22.5%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

12.7%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pyeongtaek Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Gyeongju KH&NP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pyeongtaek Citizen than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pyeongtaek Citizen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyeongju KH&NP than the current prediction. (-23.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gyeongju KH&NP, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pyeongtaek Citizen - Gyeongju KH&NP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Pyeongtaek Citizen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gyeongju KH&NP is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pyeongtaek Citizen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gyeongju KH&NP is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
18.06.21	Pyeongtaek Citizen - Mokpo City	0:2 ✺
13.06.21	Gimhae - Pyeongtaek Citizen	3:1 ✺
09.06.21	Gimpo - Pyeongtaek Citizen	3:0 ✺
05.06.21	Pyeongtaek Citizen - Yangju Citizen	0:0 ✺
29.05.21	Cheongju - Pyeongtaek Citizen	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLLTW
- Gyeongju KH&NP
South Korean K3 League
19.06.21	Yangju Citizen - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:2 ✺
13.06.21	Gyeongju KH&NP - Cheongju	1:2 ✺
09.06.21	Gangneung - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:1 ✺
06.06.21	Gyeongju KH&NP - Busan Kyotong	1:0 ✺
30.05.21	Gyeongju KH&NP - Changwon City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWL

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