Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadion Z'dezele (Celje)

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 5
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Celje		Shamrock Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5.75	Watch
	1.52	4.33	6
	1.5	4.33	6	Watch
	1.49	4.27	6.45
	1.49	4.41	6.05	Watch
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.51	4.4	6.15	Watch
	1.5	4.33	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.45)	4.28 ↑ (4.24)	5.99 ↓ (6.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celje
62.6%

Draw
21.8%

Shamrock Rovers
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

21.9%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

21%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71%	6.5%	22.6%

Celje - Shamrock Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Celje will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Shamrock will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celje: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Stubljar L. (G) 81. Nemanic K. 6. Zec D. (C) 4. Dulca M. 70. Menalo L. 8. Bobicanec L. 16. Kvesic M. 77. Brnic I. 31. Pisek J. 47. Kucys A. 7. Matko A.	1. Pohls L. (G) 3. Hoare S. 4. Lopes R. (C) 6. Cleary D. 2. Honohan J. 23. Farrugia N. 16. O'Neill G. 7. Watts D. 18. Clarke T. 15. Nugent D. 9. Greene A.
Substitutes
17. Aarons R. 30. Edmilson 25. Kavcic M. 12. Kolar L. (G) 10. Kouter N. 43. Krefl A. 11. Popovic D. 22. Rozman M. (G)	10. Burke G. 21. Burns D. 29. Byrne J. 5. Grace L. 11. Kavanagh S. 8. McEneff A. 34. Noonan C. 27. O'Sullivan C. 19. Poom M. 25. Steacy L. (G) 17. Towell R.
Coaches
Riera A.	Bradley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Watts D. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Menalo L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dulca M. ↓, Kavcic M. ↑,
46', Kucys A. ↓, Aarons R. ↑,
57', Clarke T. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
65', Honohan J. 🟨,
67', Matko A. ↓, Kouter N. ↑,
67', Brnic I. ↓, Popovic D. ↑,
67', Nugent D. ↓, McEneff A. ↑,
67', Kvesic M. ↓, Edmilson ↑,
73', Pohls L. 🟨,
75', Zec D. 🟨,
77', Farrugia N. ↓, Burke G. ↑,
78', Watts D. ↓, Poom M. ↑,
84', Aarons R. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Celje is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
03.08.24	Mura - Celje	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.07.24	Slovan Bratislava - Celje	5:0 ✺
24.07.24	Celje - Slovan Bratislava	1:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
21.07.24	Celje - NK Bravo	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.07.24	Celje - Flora Tallinn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTWW
- Shamrock Rovers
Irish Premier Division
02.08.24	Waterford - Shamrock Rovers	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.07.24	Sparta Prague - Shamrock Rovers	4:2 ✺
23.07.24	Shamrock Rovers - Sparta Prague	0:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
19.07.24	Bohemians Dublin - Shamrock Rovers	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.07.24	Shamrock Rovers - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLW

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