Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 July 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kotayk Stadium (Abovyan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Athanassiou K. (Cyp)


	Pyunik		Narva Trans

	1	X	2
	1.1	8	23	Watch
	1.07	11	26
	1.07	8.5	23
	1.09	8.5	31
	1.09	8.8	33.44
	1.06	11.5	30	Watch
	1.09	11	30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.48)	9.61 ↑ (4.18)	28.06 ↑ (5.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pyunik
86.9%

Draw
9.8%

Narva Trans
3.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62%

22%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

20.7%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pyunik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pyunik's performance.

Narva Trans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Narva Trans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pyunik than the current prediction. (-22.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pyunik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Narva Trans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	8.7%	17.4%

Pyunik - Narva Trans Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Pyunik will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Narva Trans will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pyunik: 56% – 91.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Buchnev S. (G) 95. Bratkov A. 90. Miljkovic A. 11. Harutyunyan H. 27. Baranov N. 97. Davidyan D. 7. Malakyan E. (C) 15. Kovalenko M. 9. Dashyan A. 14. Otubanjo Y. 2. Juricic L.	25. Kraizmer A. (G) 17. Skinjov A. 18. Markovic A. 4. Kauan 27. Nikolajev A. 19. Elysee I. (C) 21. Maksimkin M. 7. Tarassenkov D. 77. Polyakov D. 8. Suarez H. 9. Koskor T.
Substitutes
16. Avagyan H. (G) 8. Bravo J. 18. Caraballo J. 23. Goncalves V. 10. Grigoryan A. 3. Hovhannisyan A. 5. James 24. Jibril T. 6. Juninho 32. Mikaelyan S. (G) 19. Vardanyan L. 20. Villela L.	20. Burenko M. 90. Kim D. 16. Kondrattsev S. 5. Kulinits A. 88. Matrossov A. (G) 11. Pevtsov G. 22. Zuravljov E.
Coaches
Melikyan E.	Terehhov S.

Preview

1st leg.

Pyunik is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Narva Trans is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pyunik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pyunik is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pyunik Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
06.06.23	Alashkert - Pyunik	1:2 ✺
02.06.23	Pyunik - Urartu Yerevan	0:1 ✺
26.05.23	BKMA Yerevan - Pyunik	1:1 ✺
21.05.23	Pyunik - Lernayin Artsakh	2:0 ✺
15.05.23	Noah Yerevan - Pyunik	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTWW
- Narva Trans
Estonian Meistriliiga
08.07.23	Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus	0:4 ✺
01.07.23	Levadia Tallinn - Narva Trans	3:0 ✺
27.06.23	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	3:0 ✺
11.06.23	Narva Trans - Tammeka	2:0 ✺
07.06.23	Tallinna Kalev - Narva Trans	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pyunik Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
30.10.26	Pyunik - Urartu Yerevan	✺
- Narva Trans
Estonian Meistriliiga
01.11.26	Flora Tallinn - Narva Trans	✺

Pyunik - Narva Trans