Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 25

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Narva Kalev-Fama staadion (Narva)

Referee: Kulljastinen K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Narva Trans		Tammeka

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.40	2.65
	2.25	3.3	2.8
	2.32	3.5	2.82
	2.35	3.59	2.74	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.7
	2.29	3.32	2.76	Watch
	2.31	3.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.62)	3.42 ↓ (3.48)	2.73 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Narva Trans
39.9%

Draw
26.7%

Tammeka
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

26.2%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.3%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Narva Trans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Narva Trans's performance.

Tammeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tammeka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tammeka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Narva Trans - Tammeka Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Narva Trans will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Tammeka will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tammeka: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Venteo I. (G) 7. Velijev M. 66. Petkus E. 5. Campagna C. 14. Filatov A. 6. Slein G. (C) 22. Zuravljov E. 24. Betancor Y. 48. Awusi W. 3. Berardozzi T. 10. Gero A.	26. Lapa K. (G) 23. Veelma P. 13. Laabus R. 44. Kangaslahti O. (C) 24. Pedmanson H. 17. Amijekori J. 22. Lang T. 10. Uggeri G. 29. Silov R. 99. Hydara M. 89. Kauan Pereira
Substitutes
8. Agaptsev S. 88. Besigirskis A. 19. Elysee 70. Imeh J. 4. Ivanyushin A. 23. Jegorov A. 16. Kondrattsev S. 29. Kudriashov V. 39. Poliakov D. 17. Skinjov A. 1. Zahharov M. (G)	14. Karis K. 8. Kiidron K. 27. Ounpuu L. 3. Pedro Manoel 12. Sahtel K. (G) 9. Sambe M. 7. Thomas Lisboa 4. Vaino M. 25. Viinapuu A. 5. Vister M.
Coaches
Campana D.	Voolaid K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Uggeri G. ⚽, Veelma P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zuravljov E. ↓, Ivanyushin A. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Veelma P. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tammeka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Narva Trans won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Tammeka	29	14	2	13	37:47	-10	44
10	Narva	29	5	4	20	22:65	-43	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Narva Trans
Estonian Cup
26.08.26	Narva Trans - Nõmme Kalju	2:0 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
21.08.26	Levadia Tallinn - Narva Trans	4:0 ✺
16.08.26	Narva Trans - Paide LM	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Narva Trans - Nõmme Kalju	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Nõmme United - Narva Trans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WLTLW
- JK Tammeka Tartu
Estonian Meistriliiga
26.08.26	Tammeka - Flora Tallinn	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Tammeka - Kuressaare	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Nõmme United - Tammeka	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Nõmme Kalju - Tammeka	5:1 ✺
11.07.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
21.06.26	Tammeka - Narva Trans	1:0
07.04.26	Narva Trans - Tammeka	3:0
Club Friendly
17.01.26	Narva Trans - Tammeka	1:2
Estonian Meistriliiga
08.11.25	Tammeka - Narva Trans	2:0
09.08.25	Narva Trans - Tammeka	4:1
03.05.25	Narva Trans - Tammeka	4:0
13.04.25	Tammeka - Narva Trans	1:2

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