Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 27

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pärnu Vaprus U21		Tallinna Kalev U21

	1	X	2
	1.60	4.50	3.70
	1.52	4.6	3.95
	1.53	4.8	3.96
	1.57	5.19	3.82
	1.51	4.8	3.9
	1.55	5.16	4.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.67)	4.84 ↑ (4.35)	3.91 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu Vaprus U21
58.3%

Draw
18.6%

Tallinna Kalev U21
23.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.5%

20.6%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

20.3%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu Vaprus U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Tallinna Kalev U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus U21 than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev U21 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Smirnov S. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Korre A. ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
56', 3 - 0, Kolvart S. ⚽,
61', 4 - 0, Smirnov S. ⚽,
73', 5 - 0, Kutsar K. ⚽,
83', 6 - 0, Jaakson S. A. ⚽,
86', 7 - 0, Pikk E. T. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Pärnu Vaprus U21 is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus U21 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Pärnu Vaprus U21 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Parnu JK Vaprus U21	34	15	5	14	102:70	32	50
9	Tallinna Kalev U21 ✔	34	8	6	20	67:85	-18	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pärnu JK Vaprus U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
30.08.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Pärnu Vaprus U21	1:5 ✺
24.08.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tabasalu	6:0 ✺
20.08.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus U21	1:0 ✺
10.08.26	Tammeka U21 - Pärnu Vaprus U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTLT
- Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
30.08.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	2:1 ✺
25.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	3:3 ✺
16.08.26	Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
19.06.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:2
28.04.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Pärnu Vaprus U21	2:3

Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21