Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 23

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday


	Tabasalu		Tallinna Kalev U21

	1	X	2
	2.40	4.00	2.20
	2.52	3.8	2.15
	2.47	4.07	2.17
	2.62	4.2	2.11
	2.4	4	2.14
	2.46	4.05	2.18
	2.5	4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (1.94)	4.02 ↓ (4.1)	2.15 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tabasalu
36.1%

Draw
22.3%

Tallinna Kalev U21
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

21.8%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

20.8%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tabasalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tabasalu's form might have worsened.

Tallinna Kalev U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tallinna Kalev U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tabasalu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev U21 than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tallinna Kalev U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Lehtmaa H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 1, Lindemann R. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tabasalu won 3.

In recent matches, Tabasalu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kalev U21 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Kalev U21 has had a series of away games.

Tabasalu could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tabasalu won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tabasalu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Tabasalu	30	10	3	17	44:81	-37	33
9	Tallinna Kalev U21	31	8	5	18	63:78	-15	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
01.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Tabasalu	3:1 ✺
18.07.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Tabasalu	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Tabasalu - Viljandi Tulevik	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Tabasalu - Pärnu Vaprus U21	2:8 ✺
Estonian Cup
02.07.26	Tallinna Wolves - Tabasalu	0:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLW
- Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
01.08.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	5:0 ✺
20.07.26	Tammeka U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	5:4 ✺
12.07.26	Levadia U19 - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:1 ✺
05.07.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:3 ✺
22.06.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Narva Trans U21	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
13.06.26	Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:1
02.05.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tabasalu	2:3
Estonian Esiliiga
28.09.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tabasalu	4:2
24.08.24	Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:3
03.06.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tabasalu	0:1
14.04.24	Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21	3:3
Club Friendly
05.02.23	Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:0

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