Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 26

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday


	Tallinna Kalev U21		Viljandi Tulevik

	1	X	2
	1.82	4.20	3.00
	1.70	4.35	3.35
	1.78	4.51	2.77
	1.76	4.40	2.70
	2.68	4.70	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.67)	4.43 ↑ (4.38)	2.76 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev U21
46.6%

Draw
20.5%

Viljandi Tulevik
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

20.6%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

19.7%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tallinna Kalev U21's performance.

Viljandi Tulevik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viljandi Tulevik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev U21 than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tallinna Kalev U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viljandi Tulevik than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viljandi Tulevik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 🟥,
78', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Recently, Kalev U21 has had a series of away games.

Tulevik will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kalev U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Kalev U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Tulevik	31	14	5	12	81:64	17	47
9	Tallinna Kalev U21	31	8	5	18	63:78	-15	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
25.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	3:3 ✺
16.08.26	Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	5:0 ✺
20.07.26	Tammeka U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTTLL
- JK Viljandi Tulevik
Estonian Esiliiga B
23.08.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Narva Trans U21	3:3 ✺
20.08.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Levadia U19	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Viljandi Tulevik	4:2 ✺
01.08.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Tammeka U21	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
10.05.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:3
21.03.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	1:2
Club Friendly
28.01.23	Viljandi Tulevik - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:3

Upcoming Matches