Match Info

Date: 3 December 2020, Thursday


	Qarabağ Agdam		Maccabi Tel Aviv

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.8	1.65
	5.25	3.7	1.7
	5.25	3.8	1.68
	5.2	3.65	1.66
	5.3	3.81	1.67
	5.25	3.5	1.7
	5.2	3.84	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (3.62)	3.73 ↑ (3.42)	1.69 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
18%

Draw
25.5%

Maccabi Tel Aviv
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

27.7%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

21.2%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qarabağ Agdam's form might have worsened.

Maccabi Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maccabi Tel Aviv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.9%	5.6%	77.5%

Qarabağ Agdam - Maccabi Tel Aviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 12 - 16.9%). Maccabi Tel Aviv will win (votes: 55 - 77.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maccabi Tel Aviv: 67.8% – 87.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Qarabağ has not chance of round of 32, has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league.

Maccabi Tel Aviv has a good chance of round of 32 (84%), has a chance of round of 16 (20%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Qarabağ is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maccabi Tel Aviv is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Maccabi Tel Aviv is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
29.11.20	Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	Qarabağ Agdam - Sivasspor	2:3 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
21.11.20	Qarabağ Agdam - Sumgayit	6:1 ✺
08.11.20	Neftchi Baku - Qarabağ Agdam	0:6 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.11.20	Sivasspor - Qarabağ Agdam	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLWWL
- Maccabi Tel Aviv
Israeli Ligat haAl
29.11.20	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Kfar Saba	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
22.11.20	Hapoel Hadera - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
08.11.20	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.11.20	Villarreal - Maccabi Tel Aviv	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0

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