The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sivasspor 39.2%
Draw 29.5%
Qarabağ Agdam 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42%
29.1%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.5%
19.7%
42.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sivasspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qarabağ Agdam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
53.8%
23.1%
23.1%
Sivasspor - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions
Users Predictions:
65 users predict this event. Sivasspor will win (votes: 35 - 53.8%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 15 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sivasspor: 41.7% – 65.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Limited number of spectators.
Sivasspor has a very small chance of round of 32 (3%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Qarabağ has a small chance of round of 32 (8%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (2%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sivasspor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Qarabağ is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Qarabağ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.