Match Info

Date: 17 August 2022, Wednesday

Location: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku)

Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	CMore
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Qarabağ Agdam		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	3.1
	2.3	3.2	3.2
	2.25	3.2	3.55
	2.33	3.2	3.25
	2.37	3.22	3.32
	2.3	3.2	3.2
	2.28	3.36	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.65)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	3.24 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TUDN

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
41.3%

Draw
29.4%

Viktoria Plzeň
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

30.9%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

33%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qarabağ Agdam's performance.

Viktoria Plzeň has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qarabağ Agdam that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viktoria Plzeň could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.8%	24.7%	22.5%

Qarabağ Agdam - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Users Predictions: 89 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 47 - 52.8%). Plzeň will win (votes: 20 - 22.5%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 24.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 42.4% – 63.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.

Plzeň could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Qarabağ will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Qarabağ won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
13.08.22	Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.08.22	Ferencvárosi - Qarabağ Agdam	1:3 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
06.08.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Səbail	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.08.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Ferencvárosi	1:1 ✺
27.07.22	Zürich - Qarabağ Agdam	2:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWTW
- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
13.08.22	Hradec Králové - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.08.22	Viktoria Plzeň - Sheriff Tiraspol	2:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
06.08.22	Viktoria Plzeň - Pardubice	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.08.22	Sheriff Tiraspol - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
30.07.22	Teplice - Viktoria Plzeň	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.07.19	Qarabağ Agdam - Viktoria Plzeň	2:2
UEFA Champions League
02.08.16	Qarabağ Agdam - Viktoria Plzeň	1:1
26.07.16	Viktoria Plzeň - Qarabağ Agdam	0:0
Club Friendly
04.07.14	Viktoria Plzeň - Qarabağ Agdam	1:3

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