Match Info

Date: 12 August 2021, Thursday


	Qarabağ Agdam		AEL Limassol

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	5	Watch
	1.65	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.6	5.25
	1.69	3.15	4.7
	1.74	3.49	5.14
	1.71	3.44	5.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.67)	3.41 ↓ (3.49)	5 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
54.5%

Draw
27%

AEL Limassol
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

26.3%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

17.4%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

AEL Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qarabağ Agdam that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEL Limassol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	6.1%	12.1%

Qarabağ Agdam - AEL Limassol Predictions

Users Predictions: Qarabağ Agdam will win (27 of 33 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.66% – 94.98%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. Neutral location - Tofiq Bahramov Stadium. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Qarabağ is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.21	AEL Limassol - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1 ✺
29.07.21	MS Ashdod - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
22.07.21	Qarabağ Agdam - MS Ashdod	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.21	Qarabağ Agdam - Augsburg	2:2 ✺
11.07.21	Arsenal Tula - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWTTL
- AEL Limassol
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.21	AEL Limassol - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1 ✺
29.07.21	Vllaznia Shkodër - AEL Limassol	0:1 ✺
22.07.21	AEL Limassol - Vllaznia Shkodër	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.21	AEL Limassol - Olympiacos Nicosia	2:2 ✺
09.07.21	Amstetten - AEL Limassol	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.21	AEL Limassol - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1

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