Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Tolka Park (Dublin)

Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player


	Shelbourne		Linfield

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	4.1	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4
	1.98	3.25	3.7	Watch
	1.99	3.28	3.88
	1.99	3.58	3.30	Watch
	1.95	3.17	4.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.99)	3.26 ↓ (3.58)	3.93 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shelbourne
47.7%

Draw
28.6%

Linfield
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

25.7%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

26.6%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Linfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.9%	22.9%	14.3%

Shelbourne - Linfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Shelbourne will win (votes: 22 - 62.9%). Linfield will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelbourne: 46.9% – 78.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelbourne (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Linfield (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Speel W. (G) 25. Mbeng M. 29. Barrett P. 15. Bone S. 18. Norris J. 6. Lunney J. 8. Coyle M. (C) 23. McInroy K. 11. Odubeko A. 10. Martin J. 7. Wood H.	1. Johns Ch. (G) 27. McGee E. 2. Roscoe S. 15. Hall B. 3. East E. 8. McClean K. 5. Shields C. (C) 21. Archer J. 7. Millar K. 29. Fitzpatrick M. 9. Offord K.
Substitutes
27. Caffrey E. 5. Chapman E. 14. Coote A. 2. Gannon S. 19. Healy L. (G) 17. Kelly D. 4. Ledwidge K. 22. Moore S. 49. Offor R. 44. Ring D. 24. Temple L. 50. Topcu A. (G)	10. Allen C. 24. Brown S. 34. McCullough D. 37. McKay R. 17. McKee C. 38. Morrison C. 22. Mulgrew J. 32. Taylor S. 51. Walsh D. (G) 4. Whiteside S. 20. Yates M.
Coaches
O'Brien J.	Healy D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Fitzpatrick M. 🟥,
42', Odubeko A. (Pen),
45+1', 1 - 0, Wood H. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bone S. ↓, Caffrey E. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Odubeko A. ⚽, Caffrey E. (A),
53', 2 - 1, Offord K. ⚽, Roscoe S. (A),
62', Barrett P. 🟨,
63', Offord K. (Pen),
64', Martin J. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
64', McInroy K. ↓, Coote A. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Caffrey E. ⚽,
79', Coyle M. ↓, Gannon S. ↑,
79', Mbeng M. ↓, Moore S. ↑,
84', Millar K. ↓, Mulgrew J. ↑,
85', Offord K. ↓, Morrison C. ↑,
90+3', McGee E. ↓, Brown S. ↑,
90+5', McClean K. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Shelbourne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Linfield is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Shelbourne is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Shelbourne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shelbourne
Irish FAI Cup
17.08.25	St Patricks Athletic - Shelbourne	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.08.25	Shelbourne - Rijeka	1:3 ✺
Irish Premier Division
09.08.25	Shelbourne - Bohemians Dublin	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.25	Rijeka - Shelbourne	1:2 ✺
Irish Premier Division
02.08.25	Sligo Rovers - Shelbourne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.3 LLTWW
- Linfield FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Linfield - Víkingur Gøta	2:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
10.08.25	Linfield - Dungannon Swifts	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Víkingur Gøta - Linfield	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Linfield - Žalgiris	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Žalgiris - Linfield	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
16.07.25	Linfield - Shelbourne	1:1
09.07.25	Shelbourne - Linfield	1:0

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