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Current Win Probability
Kapaz 36.4%
Draw 29.4%
Sumgayit 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.4%
29.7%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kapaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Kapaz - Sumgayit Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rogerio (G) 34. Abbasov U. (C) 21. Abubakar A. 4. Abuladze M. 27. Acquah D. 7. Alasgarov N. 3. Ba M. 66. Domgjoni D. 14. Fofana A. 9. Kalunga K. 11. Stina V.
16. Johansson M. (G) 42. Badolo C. 11. Bangre M. 9. Jeam 80. Keffel 55. Lucas Black 29. Mustafaev E. 5. Renan Santana 4. Suliman E. (C) 21. Tiago Almeida 10. Vasquez R.
Substitutes
6. Abdullayev V. 94. Azizli R. (G) 5. Babayev H. 81. Bayramov E. (G) 33. Benito 10. Haciyev R. 70. Ismayilov S. 19. Kalantarov F. 20. Maharramli R. 99. Samadov A. 17. Samadov U. 8. Seyidov S.
17. Ahmadzada N. 7. Ahmadzada R. 12. Arikhov A. (G) 27. Barker I. 22. Farzullayev K. (G) 75. Orucov N. 97. Pashayev V. 20. Suleymanly A.
Coaches
Mammadov A.
Candido F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Acquah D. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Bangre M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Kalunga K. ⚽,
90', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 3.
Sumgayit may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kapaz has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:24 (averaging 0.9:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kapaz against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 10:9 goals (averaging 0.9:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Kapaz
5
2
1
2
4:7
-3
7
Last Results with these Odds
Sumgayit - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 29.97%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.