Match Info

Jia League - Round 24

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Qingdao Tiantai Stadium (Qingdao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Qingdao Red Lions		Shijiazhuang Gongfu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.05	2.08	Watch
	3.46	3.2	2.15
	2.63	2.94	2.82	Watch
	3.33	3.04	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.43)	3.06 ↓ (3.2)	2.3 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Red Lions
29.2%

Draw
30.4%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

28.4%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

27.9%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Red Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shijiazhuang Gongfu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Qingdao Red Lions - Shijiazhuang Gongfu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Liu Shibo (C) 44. Wu Junhao 2. Song Bowei 20. Nie Aoshuang 16. Zhang Yixuan 36. Lu K. 7. Nobrega J. 39. Yao Xuchen 10. Leandro Alves 37. Chen Hao-Wei 11. Sun Xipeng	13. Li Xuebo (G) 39. Xu Junchi 36. Yang Yun 19. Liu H. (C) 14. Ma Chongchong 27. Gao Huaze 17. Sun Weizhe 42. Feng Zhuoyi 20. Liu Le 44. Gonzalez E. 8. Ayovi J.
Substitutes
22. Iskandar B. 8. Jia Xiaochen 5. Liu Pujin 29. Liu Xiaoqi 40. Pi Ziyang 33. Shi Zhe 24. Song Runtong 23. Zhang Liang 4. Zhao Chengle 6. Zheng Haokun 30. Zhou Jianyi 1. Zhu Quan (G)	10. An Yifei 2. Deng Jiajie 18. Du Zhixuan 25. Kurban I. 28. Li Jingrun 5. Liu Y. 7. Liu Ziming 31. Luan Yi (G) 1. Nie Xuran (G) 29. Wang Jingbin 24. Yu Joy-yin 45. Zhao Z.
Coaches
Wang X.	Hongli N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Ma Chongchong 🟨,
38', Liu Shibo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Chen Hao-Wei ↓, Jia Xiaochen ↑,
64', Sun Weizhe ↓, An Yifei ↑,
64', Gao Huaze ↓, Wang Jingbin ↑,
67', Lu K. ↓, Shi Zhe ↑,
67', Song Bowei ↓, Song Runtong ↑,
78', Ayovi J. ↓, Deng Jiajie ↑,
84', Zhang Yixuan ↓, Zhao Chengle ↑,
85', Xu Junchi 🟨,
87', 0 - 1, Gonzalez E. ⚽,
90+1', Gonzalez E. ↓, Zhao Z. ↑,
90+1', Xu Junchi ↓, Kurban I. ↑,
90+5', Kurban I. 🟨,
90+7', Leandro Alves 🟨,
90+7', Wang Jingbin 🟨,
90+10', Nobrega J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 7).

Recent form of Qingdao Red Lions has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shijiazhuang Gongfu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Shijiazhuang Gongfu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Red Lions won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
20.09.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Foshan Nanshi	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Ningbo Professional	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Dingnan United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
20.09.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Shaanxi Union	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Yanbian Longding - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
17.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Qingdao Red Lions	0:2
18.08.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1
31.03.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Qingdao Red Lions	2:0

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