Match Info

Jia League - Round 22

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Qingdao Tiantai Stadium (Qingdao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Qingdao Red Lions		Foshan Nanshi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	2.95	3.3
	2.08	2.98	3.4
	1.96	3.18	3.95
	3.45	3.54	1.99	Watch
	2.08	3.02	3.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (1.99)	3.13 ↑ (3.12)	3.23 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Red Lions
40.6%

Draw
30.1%

Foshan Nanshi
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29.2%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

28%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Red Lions's form might have worsened.

Foshan Nanshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qingdao Red Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Foshan Nanshi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Qingdao Red Lions - Foshan Nanshi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Liu Shibo (G) 44. Wu Junhao 16. Zhang Yixuan 20. Nie Aoshuang (C) 23. Zhang Liang 25. Pan Kui 7. Nobrega J. 39. Yao Xuchen 10. Leandro Alves 37. Chen Hao-Wei 11. Sun Xipeng	12. Yang Chao (G) 29. Sun Xiaobin 17. Maslac M. 13. Zhang Xingbo 33. Kun L. 18. Ruan Jun 36. Shi Liang (C) 9. Chang Feiya 30. Huang Chuqi 7. Albarracin N. 26. Yao-hsing Yu
Substitutes
8. Jia Xiaochen 5. Liu Pujin 18. Li Ya'nan (G) 36. Lu K. 33. Shi Zhe 2. Song Bowei 24. Song Runtong 13. Tao Yuan 4. Zhao Chengle 6. Zheng Haokun 30. Zhou Jianyi 1. Zhu Quan (G)	44. Antwi R. 6. Chen Guokang 40. Han Kunda 35. He Mingli 39. Li Bowen 25. Liu Xinyu 32. Wu-Yao Shengxuan (G) 24. Wu Yuchen 14. Yao Xilong 28. Zhang Zhihao 27. Zheng Junwei 11. Zhong Ziqin
Coaches
Wang X.	Wang Hongwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Yao-hsing Yu ⚽, Chang Feiya (A),
45+3', Zhang Xingbo 🟨,
45+5', Chang Feiya 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zhang Yixuan ↓, Lu K. ↑,
60', Yao-hsing Yu ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
69', Chen Hao-Wei ↓, Song Runtong ↑,
72', Shi Liang 🟨,
79', Ruan Jun ↓, Wu Yuchen ↑,
79', Albarracin N. ↓, Antwi R. ↑,
84', Huang Chuqi 🟨,
84', Huang Chuqi ↓, Zheng Junwei ↑,
87', Wu Junhao ↓, Zhou Jianyi ↑,
87', Yao Xuchen ↓, Song Bowei ↑,
90+9', Albarracin N. ↓, Antwi R. ↑,
90+10', Kun L. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Qingdao Red Lions will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
16.08.25	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Ningbo Professional	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Dingnan United	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Dalian Kun City - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Yanbian Longding - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL
- Foshan Nanshi
Chinese Jia League
16.08.25	Foshan Nanshi - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:3 ✺
10.08.25	Dingnan United - Foshan Nanshi	3:0 ✺
03.08.25	Foshan Nanshi - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Shaanxi Union - Foshan Nanshi	3:1 ✺
19.07.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Foshan Nanshi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
04.05.25	Foshan Nanshi - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1
14.07.24	Foshan Nanshi - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1
16.03.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Foshan Nanshi	0:0

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