Match Info

Jia League - Round 19

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Qingdao Tiantai Stadium (Qingdao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Qingdao Red Lions		Dingnan United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	2.9	2.45
	3.45	3.05	2	Watch
	3.19	3.09	2.2
	2.63	2.84	2.91	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	3.17	3.02	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.93)	2.97 ↓ (3.19)	2.38 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Red Lions
30.7%

Draw
30.8%

Dingnan United
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

28.6%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

27.9%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Dingnan United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Qingdao Red Lions - Dingnan United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Qingdao Red Lions will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Dingnan United will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dingnan United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Liu Shibo (G) 2. Song Bowei 4. Zhao Chengle 25. Pan Kui 15. Hao Yucheng 7. Nobrega J. 20. Nie Aoshuang 30. Zhou Jianyi (C) 39. Yao Xuchen 9. Rivaldinho 10. Leandro Alves	13. Dong Yifan (G) 34. Ependi Nizamdin 35. Liu Jiahui 44. Mateos D. 19. Li Suda 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 4. Sihan W. 10. Tang Shi (C) 8. Zhang Zimin 9. Ma Chenghao 22. He Shaolin
Substitutes
37. Chen Hao-Wei 22. Iskandar B. 5. Liu Pujin 18. Li Ya'nan (G) 36. Lu K. 40. Pi Ziyang 19. Ren Lihao 24. Song Runtong 13. Tao Yuan 16. Zhang Yixuan 6. Zheng Haokun 1. Zhu Quan (G)	26. Chen Liming 11. Erikys 18. Fan Bojian 27. Ge Yifan (G) 20. Tiago Fernandes 45. Wei Zixian 29. Xu Jiajun 15. Yang Fan 33. Yan Jiahao 7. Zhang Jiansheng 16. Zhou Pinxi
Coaches
Castro F.	Liu Jianye

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', He Shaolin 🟨,
21', Song Bowei 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, He Shaolin ⚽, Li Suda (A),
45+7', Pan Kui 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zhou Jianyi ↓, Chen Hao-Wei ↑,
58', Ma Chenghao ↓, Xu Jiajun ↑,
58', Ependi Nizamdin ↓, Wei Zixian ↑,
58', Song Bowei ↓, Lu K. ↑,
58', Zhu Jiaxuan ↓, Yang Fan ↑,
58', He Shaolin ↓, Fan Bojian ↑,
64', Hao Yucheng 🟨,
68', Tang Shi ↓, Zhang Jiansheng ↑,
68', Yao Xuchen ↓, Song Runtong ↑,
68', Zhao Chengle ↓, Zhang Yixuan ↑,
79', Nobrega J. 🟨,
83', Hao Yucheng ↓, Pi Ziyang ↑,
85', Mateos D. 🟨,
90+1', Li Suda ↓, Zhou Pinxi ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Zhang Zimin ⚽, Xu Jiajun (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 9).

Qingdao Red Lions has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dingnan United is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dingnan United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
27.07.25	Dalian Kun City - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Yanbian Longding - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:4 ✺
05.07.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Shenzhen Juniors	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Qingdao Red Lions	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLLT
- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
27.07.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Dingnan United	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Dingnan United - Shaanxi Union	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Dingnan United - Suzhou Dongwu	3:1 ✺
28.06.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.2 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
12.04.25	Dingnan United - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0

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