Match Info

FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Qingdao Tiantai Stadium (Qingdao)


	Qingdao Red Lions		Wuhan Three Towns

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.25	4.20	1.36
	6.00	4.10	1.43
	8.70	4.46	1.35
	10.73	1.36	3.94	Watch
	8.00	4.00	1.36
	8.06	4.23	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.12 ↑ (3.61)	3.73 ↑ (3.4)	1.81 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Red Lions
13%

Draw
28.4%

Wuhan Three Towns
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

27.3%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

27%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Red Lions's form might have worsened.

Wuhan Three Towns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wuhan Three Towns's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qingdao Red Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wuhan Three Towns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Qingdao Red Lions - Wuhan Three Towns Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Wuhan Three Towns (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wuhan Three Towns (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Xiong J. ↓, Wang Jinxian ↑,
46', Zhong Jinbao ↓, Min Zixi ↑,
46', Zong Keyi ↓, Dai Bowei ↑,
57', Wen Zhengkuan ↓, Jiang Kaihua ↑,
57', Deng Jiajie ↓, Chen Shihao ↑,
72', Mehmut Ferdanwus ↓, Huang Yuxuan ↑,
74', Li Shenyuan ↓, Abdugheni Halit ↑,
79', Wang G. ↓, Li Mingfan ↑,
79', Ming Tian ↓, Wang Kang ↑,
85', Chen Zhechao ↓, Wang Yi ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Xu Jiashi (Penalty Awarded),
1, Liao Chengjian (Penalty Awarded),
2, Chen Shihao (Penalty Awarded),
2, Long Wei (Penalty Awarded),
3, Fu Jie (Penalty Awarded),
3, Zheng Kaimu (Penalty Awarded),
4, Li Mingfan (Penalty Awarded),
4, Wang Jinxian (Penalty Awarded),
5, Huang Yuxuan (Penalty Awarded),
5, Min Zixi (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Qingdao Red Lions is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wuhan Three Towns's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Wuhan Three Towns may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Wuhan Three Towns is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Yi League
14.06.26	Qingdao Red Lions - Shanghai Port B	2:1 ✺
07.06.26	Changchun Xidu - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
27.05.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Qingdao Red Lions	2:3 ✺
23.05.26	Qingdao Red Lions - Nantong Haimen Codion	0:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
15.05.26	Qingdao Red Lions - Nanjing City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 WTWLW
- Wuhan Three Towns FC
Chinese Super League
31.05.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Yunnan Yukun	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Shandong Taishan - Wuhan Three Towns	3:3 ✺
20.05.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Wuhan Three Towns	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Liaoning Tieren	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Qingdao West Coast - Wuhan Three Towns	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TTTTT

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