Match Info

Super League - Round 12

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Wuhan Sports Centre (Wuhan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Wuhan Three Towns		Liaoning Tieren

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.82	Watch
	2.28	3.45	2.82	Watch
	2.46	3.56	2.79
	2.39	3.55	2.73	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.7
	2.47	3.5	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.18)	3.48 ↑ (3.46)	2.78 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuhan Three Towns
39.3%

Draw
26.9%

Liaoning Tieren
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

27%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

25.3%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Wuhan Three Towns - Liaoning Tieren Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Fang Jingqi (G) 23. Ming Tian 13. Zheng Kaimu 3. Yamkam M. 21. Xiong J. 20. Adriano Firmino 12. Liao Chengjian 15. Chen Zhechao 7. Gustavo Sauer (C) 8. Wang Jinxian 29. Cadiz J.	29. Zhang Yan (G) 36. Tian Deao 26. Yuan Mincheng 6. Vagic P. 30. Pang Shenghan 15. Felipe 7. Kouame A. 8. Yan Dinghao 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 11. Chen Binbin 9. Mbenza G.
Substitutes
17. Abdugheni Halit 31. Guo Jiayu (G) 5. Li Shenyuan 6. Long Wei 34. Ruan Jingwei 28. Wang Denny 37. Wang Kang 14. Xia Xiaoxi 27. Xia Z. 35. Yu Tianle 9. Zheng Haoqian 30. Zhong Jinbao	27. Gao Jiarun 21. Han Rongze (G) 47. Jeffinho 35. Li Haoran 18. Li Tixiang 5. Mawlanniyaz D. 3. Pan Ximing 33. Tian Yinong 17. Tian Yuda 4. Tian Ziyi 28. Xu Dong 14. Zang Yifeng
Coaches
Deng Zhuoxiang	Seo Jung-Won

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Gustavo Sauer ⚽, Cadiz J. (A),
24', Pang Shenghan ↓, Jeffinho ↑,
27', 1 - 1, Yan Dinghao ⚽, Jeffinho (A),
31', Tian Deao 🟨,
38', 2 - 1, Cadiz J. ⚽, Ming Tian (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Liao Chengjian ↓, Long Wei ↑,
55', Vagic P. ↓, Li Tixiang ↑,
55', Tian Deao ↓, Mawlanniyaz D. ↑,
66', Xiong J. ↓, Zheng Haoqian ↑,
81', Zhong Jinbao 🟨,
81', Adriano Firmino ↓, Zhong Jinbao ↑,
81', Wang Jinxian ↓, Yu Tianle ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Kouame A. ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),
85', Yan Dinghao ↓, Zang Yifeng ↑,
90', Chen Zhechao ↓, Li Shenyuan ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 14).

In recent matches, Wuhan Three Towns has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Liaoning Tieren is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Wuhan Three Towns won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Liaoning Tieren	26	7	4	15	34:47	-13	25
15	Wuhan Three Towns	26	5	11	10	39:46	-7	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuhan Three Towns FC
Chinese Super League
10.05.26	Qingdao West Coast - Wuhan Three Towns	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao Hainiu	1:3 ✺
01.05.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Wuhan Three Towns	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Shanghai Port - Wuhan Three Towns	4:0 ✺
21.04.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Zhejiang Professional	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLTLW
- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Super League
10.05.26	Liaoning Tieren - Yunnan Yukun	1:2 ✺
05.05.26	Liaoning Tieren - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Liaoning Tieren	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Liaoning Tieren	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Liaoning Tieren - Dalian Young Boy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
05.06.21	Wuhan Three Towns - Liaoning Tieren	2:3
11.05.21	Liaoning Tieren - Wuhan Three Towns	1:3

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