Match Info

Super League - Round 11

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center (Qingdao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Qingdao West Coast		Wuhan Three Towns

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.5
	1.85	3.45	3.95	Watch
	1.89	3.6	4.47
	1.93	3.3	4.12	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4
	1.88	3.54	4.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2)	3.43 ↑ (3.3)	4.07 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao West Coast
49.8%

Draw
27.3%

Wuhan Three Towns
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

28.3%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

27.2%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao West Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Qingdao West Coast - Wuhan Three Towns Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Qingdao West Coast will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Li H. (G) 19. Dong Yu 5. Memisevic S. 23. Rezende 22. Wang G. 25. Peng Xinli 8. Zhang X. 10. Da Luz N. 30. Yang Zhanpeng 11. Davidson (C) 9. Yakubu A.	22. Fang Jingqi (G) 23. Ming Tian 2. He Guan (C) 3. Yamkam M. 37. Wang Kang 9. Zheng Haoqian 12. Liao Chengjian 20. Adriano Firmino 7. Gustavo Sauer 29. Cadiz J. 8. Wang Jinxian
Substitutes
27. Asqer A. 32. Ding Haifeng 37. Dong Hang (G) 20. He Longhai 29. Jia Weiwei 26. Liu Shibo (G) 45. Liu Xiaolong 21. Meng Jingchao 13. Song Haoyu 36. Sun Jie 15. Wang Peng 28. Zhang Chengdong	10. Bevis K. 15. Chen Zhechao 31. Guo Jiayu (G) 5. Li Shenyuan 6. Long Wei 16. Min Zixi 28. Wang Denny 14. Xia Xiaoxi 21. Xiong J. 35. Yu Tianle 13. Zheng Kaimu 30. Zhong Jinbao
Coaches
Zheng Zhi	Mora B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Yang Zhanpeng ⚽, Da Luz N. (A),
34', Dong Yu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', He Guan ↓, Zheng Kaimu ↑,
50', Wang Kang 🟨,
60', Peng Xinli ↓, Zhang Chengdong ↑,
60', Zheng Haoqian ↓, Bevis K. ↑,
60', Liao Chengjian ↓, Long Wei ↑,
60', Wang Kang ↓, Chen Zhechao ↑,
61', Yang Zhanpeng 🟨,
68', Dong Yu ↓, He Longhai ↑,
68', Yang Zhanpeng ↓, Meng Jingchao ↑,
82', Wang Jinxian ↓, Zhong Jinbao ↑,
83', Da Luz N. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Cadiz J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Zhong Jinbao 🟨,
90+9', Zheng Kaimu 🟨,
90+10', Yakubu A. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

In recent matches, Qingdao West Coast has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Wuhan Three Towns is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Qingdao West Coast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Qingdao West Coast will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wuhan Three Towns: Bevis K. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Qingdao West Coast won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Qingdao West Coast won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Qingdao West Coast	26	8	14	4	31:32	-1	38
15	Wuhan Three Towns	26	5	11	10	39:46	-7	21

Last Results with these Odds

Wuhan Three Towns - the odds 3.74 are the expected chance of winning is 24.98%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao West Coast
Chinese Super League
05.05.26	Qingdao West Coast - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Shandong Taishan - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Qingdao West Coast - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Qingdao West Coast	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TTTTT
- Wuhan Three Towns FC
Chinese Super League
06.05.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao Hainiu	1:3 ✺
01.05.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Wuhan Three Towns	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Shanghai Port - Wuhan Three Towns	4:0 ✺
21.04.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Zhejiang Professional	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
18.07.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao West Coast	1:1
03.03.25	Qingdao West Coast - Wuhan Three Towns	2:0
02.11.24	Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao West Coast	1:3
16.06.24	Qingdao West Coast - Wuhan Three Towns	0:1

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