Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 27

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Tianhe Stadium (Guangzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Guangzhou Evergrande		Jiangxi Lushan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.26	5.25	8.25
	1.25	5	9.5
	1.3	5.39	9.27
	1.32	5.11	9.02	Watch
	1.25	5	9.5
	1.25	5.3	9.05	Watch
	1.25	5	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.32)	5.15 ↑ (4.73)	9.16 ↑ (8.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Evergrande
72.2%

Draw
17.8%

Jiangxi Lushan
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

19.4%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

19.4%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Guangzhou Evergrande - Jiangxi Lushan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Huo S. (G) 15. Xu Bin 18. Liao Jintao 8. Sadauskas R. 5. Wang Shilong 16. Zhang Zhixiong 6. Hou Yu 28. Penaloza J. 19. Wu Junjie 11. Aniwar Abduwahap 9. Alegria J.	19. Chen Junxu (G) 25. Wang Hongbin 14. Chen Yunhua 17. Xu Dongdong 24. Du Junpeng 11. Brown T. 16. Hu Jiaqi 10. Willie 44. Abdukerim Qaharman 29. Fortes F. 4. Zhu Mingxin
Substitutes
1. Askhan (G) 3. Liu Langzhou 24. Qurban W. 13. Wang Jie 27. Wang Junyang 21. Wang Shijie 2. Wang Wenxuan 14. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 23. Yang Dejiang 17. Yang Hao 12. Yasin Islam	30. Gao Mingyi 33. Kang Zhenjie 35. Li Jiahao 34. Ma Kunyue (G) 28. Muhta Muzapar 6. Song Ziwenhao 7. Wu Linfeng 23. Yao Zixuan 26. Zhang Xiang
Coaches
Suay S.	Yue S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Hou Yu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hu Jiaqi ↓, Muhta Muzapar ↑,
57', Wang Shilong 🟨,
58', Aniwar Abduwahap ↓, Yang Hao ↑,
58', Penaloza J. ↓, Wu Yongqiang ↑,
67', Brown T. ↓, Kang Zhenjie ↑,
68', Zhang Zhixiong ↓, Wang Shijie ↑,
75', Abdukerim Qaharman ↓, Song Ziwenhao ↑,
78', Liao Jintao 🟨,
86', Hou Yu ↓, Qurban W. ↑,
86', Wu Junjie ↓, Yasin Islam ↑,
87', Fortes F. ↓, Li Jiahao ↑,
87', Zhu Mingxin ↓, Zhang Xiang ↑,
90', Chen Yunhua 🟨,
90+5', Willie 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Guangzhou Evergrande is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Jiangxi Lushan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jiangxi Lushan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guangzhou Evergrande is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guangzhou Evergrande won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:5 (average 3.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Guangzhou Evergrande won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
05.10.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Dalian Young Boy	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Wuxi Wugou - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTWTW
- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
06.10.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Yanbian Longding	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Dalian Young Boy - Jiangxi Lushan	3:0 ✺
22.09.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
16.09.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Jiangxi Lushan	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
02.06.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:5
14.10.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:3
28.06.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1

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