Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 15 July 2023, Saturday


	Qingdao West Coast		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4.1
	1.65	3.5	4.5
	1.91	3.35	4.24
	1.73	3.2	4.5
	1.76	3.5	4.55	Watch
	1.74	3.55	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.57)	3.42 ↓ (3.75)	4.35 ↓ (5.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao West Coast
52.2%

Draw
26.8%

Guangzhou Evergrande
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

24.9%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

24.9%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao West Coast has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao West Coast's form might have worsened.

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangzhou Evergrande's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qingdao West Coast, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangzhou Evergrande, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Qingdao West Coast - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Wang Qi (G) 6. Ge Zhen 26. He Xiaoqiang 5. Liu Pujin 2. Huang Jiaqiang 14. Feng Gang 17. Chen Po-Liang 10. Ramirez J. 19. Guo Yi 24. Tanque W. d. S. 39. Lei Wenjie	32. Huo S. (G) 17. Liu L. 2. Wang W. 33. Feng Y. 30. Iskandar B. 14. Zhang Z. 34. Hou Yu 31. Wang S. 11. Aniwar Abduwahap 42. Yang H. 28. Ling J.
Substitutes
15. Abduklim Merdanjan 20. Chen Ao 12. Chen Zhao (G) 30. Gui Zihan 16. Han X. 25. Li Kai 22. Osmanjan Abduhelil 9. Shi Jian 7. Tian Yong 43. Xie Longfei 3. Xue Mengtao 44. Zhang X.	37. Askhan (G) 9. Asqer A. 12. Chen R. 16. Fan H. 22. Li J. 41. Li Xingxian 26. Wu J. 40. Wu Y. 15. Xu Bin 36. Yang Dejiang 29. Zhang D. 3. Zhao W.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 10).

Recent matches Qingdao West Coast is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guangzhou Evergrande is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Qingdao West Coast is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Qingdao West Coast won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao West Coast
Chinese Jia League
08.07.23	Qingdao West Coast - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2 ✺
01.07.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Qingdao West Coast	0:0 ✺
28.06.23	Qingdao West Coast - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
23.06.23	Qingdao West Coast - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:1 ✺
Chinese Jia League
18.06.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Qingdao West Coast	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTWL
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
08.07.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
01.07.23	Dandong Tengyue - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:4 ✺
28.06.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
24.06.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shanghai Port	1:3 ✺
Chinese Jia League
18.06.23	Wuxi Wugou - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese FA Cup
13.10.21	Guangzhou Evergrande - Qingdao West Coast	0:1

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