Match Info

Super League - Round 25

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi (Navoiy) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Toxtasinov T. (Uzb)


	Qizilqum		Lokomotiv Tashkent

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.20	1.98
	3.15	3.10	2.05
	3.58	3.20	2.21
	3.51	3.28	2.01	Watch
	3.50	2.95	2.18
	3.29	3.19	2.16
	3.30	3.10	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.9)	3.15 ↓ (3.23)	2.08 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qizilqum
27.1%

Draw
29%

Lokomotiv Tashkent
43.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.7%

28.5%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

27.7%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qizilqum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Lokomotiv Tashkent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qizilqum than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Tashkent than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Qizilqum - Lokomotiv Tashkent Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Tashkent will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Tashkent (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rakhmatov F. (G) 44. Rizakulov G. 23. Shukurillaev S. 15. Kumburovic N. 77. Rakhmatilloev D. 70. Maykon Douglas 31. Jigauri J. 10. Kenzhaboev I. (C) 8. Rakhmatullaev S. 47. Roziev R. 88. Jurakuziev O.	1. Kozlov A. (G) 28. Mukhammadiev S. 15. Susnjar A. 18. Kucherenko O. 33. Zoteev O. 23. Turopov D. 45. Nisic J. 17. Mirzaev S. 99. Yakhshiboev J. 11. Abdukholikov T. 8. Tupliev B.
Substitutes
18. Abdugafforov A. 20. Bozorov B. 34. Chabradze G. 45. Ergashev O. 7. Jumankuziev F. 99. Sayyotov K. (G) 9. Turopov S. 6. Usmonov M. 4. Vakhobov I.	7. Abrayev Q. 16. Baklanov D. (G) 61. Ibraimov N. 14. Ivanov N. 9. Nurulloev S. 22. Poyonov S. 70. Reimov M. 10. Shodiboev S. 26. Yuldashev A.
Coaches
Saidov J.	Jelicic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Jigauri J. ⚽, Rakhmatullaev S. (A),
33', Nisic J. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Tupliev B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tupliev B. ↓, Shodiboev S. ↑,
58', Kenzhaboev I. ↓, Jumankuziev F. ↑,
63', Rakhmatilloev D. ↓, Bozorov B. ↑,
64', Rizakulov G. 🟨,
68', Mukhammadiev S. ↓, Yuldashev A. ↑,
68', Nisic J. ↓, Ivanov N. ↑,
68', Turopov D. ↓, Reimov M. ↑,
78', Maykon Douglas 🟨,
78', Abdukholikov T. 🟨,
80', Rakhmatullaev S. ↓, Turopov S. ↑,
80', Jigauri J. ↓, Abdugafforov A. ↑,
80', Roziev R. ↓, Chabradze G. ↑,
82', Mirzaev S. ↓, Nurulloev S. ↑,
84', Ivanov N. 🟨,
88', Reimov M. 🟨,
89', Bozorov B. 🟨,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 8th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qizilqum won 1.

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Lokomotiv Tashkent may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Lokomotiv Tashkent is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Qizilqum has recorded 1 win, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:15 (averaging 0.7:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Qizilqum against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 0.8:0.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Lok. Tashkent	25	11	7	7	40:31	9	40
8	Qizilqum	25	10	4	11	25:31	-6	34

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiv Tashkent - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.81%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qizilqum PFK
Uzbek League
15.10.26	Andijan - Qizilqum	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Qizilqum - Surkhon Termez	0:0 ✺
21.09.26	Xorazm Urganch - Qizilqum	1:3 ✺
10.09.26	Dinamo Samarqand - Qizilqum	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Qizilqum - Buxoro	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WTWLW
- Lokomotiv Tashkent
Uzbek Cup
20.10.26	Neftchi Fargona - Lokomotiv Tashkent	2:4 ✺
Uzbek League
17.10.26	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Nasaf Qarshi	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Lokomotiv Tashkent	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Neftchi Fargona	0:1 ✺
Uzbek Cup
15.09.26	Bunyodkor - Lokomotiv Tashkent	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
04.05.26	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Qizilqum	1:0
25.08.24	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Qizilqum	4:2
29.03.24	Qizilqum - Lokomotiv Tashkent	0:0
03.08.22	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Qizilqum	1:0
04.03.22	Qizilqum - Lokomotiv Tashkent	2:0
11.09.21	Qizilqum - Lokomotiv Tashkent	0:0
03.04.21	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Qizilqum	1:1

Qizilqum - Lokomotiv Tashkent