Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 16

Date: 21 December 2022, Wednesday


	Qrendi		Fgura United

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.6	1.35
	6	4.6	1.33
	6.7	4.63	1.38
	6.5	4.5	1.36
	6.6	4.95	1.34
	6.4	4.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.45 ↑ (4.82)	4.7 ↑ (4)	1.35 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qrendi
14%

Draw
19.2%

Fgura United
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

22.7%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

21.1%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qrendi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Fgura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fgura United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qrendi than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qrendi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fgura United than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fgura United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group) and 7 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group)).

The competitors look crappy now.

Qrendi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fgura is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Qrendi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Qrendi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qrendi FC
Maltese Challenge League
18.12.22	Mtarfa - Qrendi	2:3 ✺
15.12.22	Qrendi - Marsaskala	2:3 ✺
11.12.22	Tarxien Rainbows - Qrendi	4:0 ✺
04.12.22	Qrendi - Żurrieq	2:5 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
20.11.22	Għajnsielem - Qrendi	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLL
- Fgura United
Maltese Challenge League
18.12.22	Fgura United - Marsa	0:0 ✺
13.12.22	Sliema Wanderers - Fgura United	2:1 ✺
08.12.22	Fgura United - Vittoriosa Stars	6:1 ✺
03.12.22	St. Andrews - Fgura United	3:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
17.11.22	Swieqi United - Fgura United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
25.02.22	Qrendi - Fgura United	1:2
19.11.21	Fgura United - Qrendi	5:1
28.02.21	Fgura United - Qrendi	1:2
02.11.20	Qrendi - Fgura United	4:1
15.02.20	Qrendi - Fgura United	1:3

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