Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Queen of the South		Raith Rovers

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	3.05	3.3	2.18	Watch
	3.25	3.15	2.15
	3.34	3.43	2.2
	3.2	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.32	3.38	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.71)	3.25 ↑ (3.16)	2.16 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queen of the South
28.7%

Draw
28.4%

Raith Rovers
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

28.8%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

20.6%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queen of the South has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raith Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Queen of the South, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Raith Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Queen of the South - Raith Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Queen of the South won 2.

Queen of the South is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Raith is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Queen of the South could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Queen of the South won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 32-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Queen of the South won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queen of the South
Scottish Football Championship
08.03.22	Partick Thistle - Queen of the South	1:0 ✺
05.03.22	Queen of the South - Greenock Morton	3:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
01.03.22	Cove Rangers - Queen of the South	0:1 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
26.02.22	Ayr United - Queen of the South	0:1 ✺
19.02.22	Queen of the South - Arbroath	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LWWWT
- Raith Rovers
Scottish Football Championship
05.03.22	Raith Rovers - Ayr United	0:4 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
02.03.22	Kilmarnock - Raith Rovers	1:2 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
26.02.22	Raith Rovers - Partick Thistle	0:0 ✺
19.02.22	Kilmarnock - Raith Rovers	3:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
13.02.22	Celtic - Raith Rovers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
01.02.22	Raith Rovers - Queen of the South	3:3
06.11.21	Queen of the South - Raith Rovers	1:1
11.09.21	Raith Rovers - Queen of the South	0:1
13.04.21	Queen of the South - Raith Rovers	0:1
29.12.20	Raith Rovers - Queen of the South	0:2
24.10.20	Queen of the South - Raith Rovers	2:5
18.05.19	Queen of the South - Raith Rovers	0:0

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