Match Info

SCOTLAND: League One - Round 25

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Palmerston Park (Dumfries)


	Queen of the South		Arbroath

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	2.9
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.13	3.52	3.22
	2.13	3.56	3.17
	2.2	3.3	3.25
	2.13	3.38	3.15	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.32)	3.42 ↑ (3.25)	3.1 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queen of the South
43.5%

Draw
26.8%

Arbroath
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27.8%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

28.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queen of the South has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Queen of the South - Arbroath Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stewart R. (G) 11. Dickenson B. 5. Douglas M. 35. Brydon J. 7. Smith L. 4. Lyon R. 6. Cochrane H. 8. Luissint B. 22. MacIntyre O. 25. Doherty K. 12. Brooks A.	21. McAdams A. (G) 19. Penman C. 2. Steele A. 15. Watson K. 4. Wilkie J. 32. Spalding A. 6. Stanton S. 11. Dow R. 12. Stewart S. 25. Winter A. 14. Taylor F.
Substitutes
29. Allan J. 19. Bryden F. 18. Charters T. 20. Johnson M. (G) 17. O'Donnell L. 26. Thomson M. (G) 23. Walker J.	7. Gold D. 17. King B. 31. Mcconnell J. (G) 24. McKechnie K. 22. Murray I. 26. Thomson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Stewart S. ⚽, Spalding A. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Taylor F. ⚽, Dow R. (A),
23', Cochrane H. 🟨,
26', 0 - 3, Douglas M. (Own goal),
35', Dickenson B. 🟨,
45+2', Douglas M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', MacIntyre O. ↓, Allan J. ↑,
46', Luissint B. ↓, Charters T. ↑,
63', Spalding A. 🟨,
73', Doherty K. 🟨,
76', Spalding A. ↓, Gold D. ↑,
80', Douglas M. ↓, Bryden F. ↑,
83', Stewart S. ↓, Thomson J. ↑,
90', Dow R. ↓, Murray I. ↑,
90', Winter A. ↓, McKechnie K. ↑,
90', Taylor F. ↓, King B. ↑,
90+1', Doherty K. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
90+4', Penman C. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lehigh Valley won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lehigh Valley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Lehigh Valley to win the game is with odds 2.23.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Lehigh Valley won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 48:66 (average 2.4:3.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Lehigh Valley won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 29:36 (average 2.9:3.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queen of the South
Scottish League One
08.02.25	Stenhousemuir - Queen of the South	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Inverness - Queen of the South	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Queen of the South - Dumbarton	3:1 ✺
21.01.25	Queen of the South - Inverness	3:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	Queen of the South - St. Mirren	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWL
- Arbroath
Scottish League One
08.02.25	Arbroath - Inverness	3:0 ✺
01.02.25	Cove Rangers - Arbroath	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	Arbroath - Alloa Athletic	1:3 ✺
28.12.24	Arbroath - Montrose	3:0 ✺
21.12.24	Annan Athletic - Arbroath	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
07.12.24	Arbroath - Queen of the South	2:1
Scottish Cup
30.11.24	Arbroath - Queen of the South	0:1
Scottish League One
14.09.24	Queen of the South - Arbroath	2:1
Scottish Challenge Cup
14.10.23	Queen of the South - Arbroath	1:2
Scottish Football Championship
16.04.22	Arbroath - Queen of the South	5:1
19.02.22	Queen of the South - Arbroath	0:0
13.11.21	Arbroath - Queen of the South	1:1

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